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Mexico fears backlash from vote on Iraq
SignOnSanDiego.com ^ | March 15, 2003 | Jerry Kammer

Posted on 03/15/2003 8:13:34 PM PST by MoscowMike

By Jerry Kammer COPLEY NEWS SERVICE

March 15, 2003

WASHINGTON – As Mexico faces up to heavy U.S. pressure to vote its way in the Iraq crisis, it also confronts the possibility of a widespread U.S. backlash.

"If the perception of the average American is that his neighbor abandoned him at this crucial time, the stigma would last for generations and be made manifest in a multitude of individual actions," Mexican analyst and historian Enrique Krauze warned this month in a Mexico City newspaper.

Krauze cited danger of commercial boycotts, restrictions on trade and widespread resentment at the White House, in local and state governments and in the U.S. press. He fretted that Mexicans living in the United States might suffer "discrimination, persecutions, etc."

Krauze's pessimism is widely shared by Mexican diplomats here, some of whom acknowledge that they are praying that the U.S. resolution that would authorize a possible war with Iraq will never come to a vote. Indications are that Mexican President Vicente Fox, facing overwhelming public opposition to the war, would invoke Mexico's tradition of nonintervention and either vote "no" or abstain. Either way, he would antagonize the White House.

Mexico's ambassador to the United States was active this week trying to head off the sort of hostility that is pestering France, featuring boycotts on cheese, mocking jokes and bitter commentary on French diplomacy and French character. Juan José Bremer urged U.S. appreciation for "the remarkable progress" Washington and Mexico City have achieved in managing what he called "the most intense bilateral relationship in the world."

President Bush increased that intensity last week in statements that provoked alarm in Mexico, where they made front-page news. While Bush said he did not expect "significant retribution from the government" against Security Council member nations that didn't line up with the United States, he pointedly left open the possibility of a popular backlash.

The president's comments caused consternation among Mexican-Americans, who longed for the pre-Sept. 11 era when Bush and Fox were "the two amigos" pledging unflagging friendship and celebrating the increasing economic and cultural integration of their two countries. They also spoke optimistically about the prospects for an immigration deal that would legalize the status of millions of Mexicans living illegally in the United States.

But in the tensions of the post-Sept. 11 era, that coziness has been dissipated.

Antonia Hernández, president of the Mexican American Legal Defense Fund, said this week that Bush's March 3 remarks, which came in an interview with reporters from Copley News Service and other news organizations, would encourage anti-Mexican sentiment.

Mexico expert Robert Pastor said his recent appearance on "The O'Reilly Factor" TV show on the Fox network convinced him that there is real danger of an anti-Mexican backlash.

"He just leveled into Mexico," Pastor said of the show's host, Bill O'Reilly. "I can assure you that these things resonate out there," he said.

Peter H. Smith, professor of political science at the University of California San Diego, said Bush's comments were widely perceived in Mexico as a threat and may have eliminated any possibility that Fox would line up with the United States at the United Nations.

"The costs to Fox of taking the U.S. side would be very high, higher than they would have been if they hadn't received those threats," Smith said. He said Fox could not afford to be perceived as submitting to pressure from an American president.

Moreover, said Smith, the concession Fox most wants from the United States – an immigration deal – is out of the question. "We simply cannot do to that in the post 9/11 environment," said Smith, adding that heightened security concerns make it politically impossible to agree to a deal that would be seen as a loosening of the border.

Harvard professor and Latin American scholar John Coatsworth said Mexican fears of a widespread backlash are exaggerated. "Mexico has yet to recognize that it has immense strength in the relationship with the United States that it has not yet begun to exploit," Coatsworth said.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
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To: DontMessWithMyCountry
Hecho en Mexico.....
41 posted on 03/15/2003 9:16:00 PM PST by Robert_Paulson2 (What price treason?)
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To: x1stcav
Do you know how many times I've said exactly what you just said.
42 posted on 03/15/2003 9:19:00 PM PST by tiki
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To: Steve Eisenberg
nothing will change.

Everything changes ... every moment, and American attitudes toward Mexico shifted backward -- how far remains to be seen -- when Fox folded to Mexico's pacifist left in what could have been Fox's finest hour.

This war is about peace with freedom -- and that kind of peace is only possible after the elimination of tyrants and dictators like Saddam.

43 posted on 03/15/2003 9:19:43 PM PST by thinktwice
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To: FITZ
and here I thought it marked the beginning of the tequilla season!
isn't that why you have to do cinco shots of Cuervo Gold?

44 posted on 03/15/2003 9:19:45 PM PST by Robert_Paulson2 (What price treason?)
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To: MoscowMike; dalebert; Tax Government
I think Mexico's failure to back up America in the United Nations is the last straw.

Yep, no more Jose Cuervo Margaritas.

45 posted on 03/15/2003 9:21:41 PM PST by Paleo Conservative (This space left intentionally blank.)
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To: Robert_Paulson2
si, yo puedo leer y escribir espanol. no problemo. jajaja ;-)
46 posted on 03/15/2003 9:24:04 PM PST by DontMessWithMyCountry (It's serious business being an American in America these days.)
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To: Paleo Conservative
Apropos of nothing, the Margarita was an American inspiration.
47 posted on 03/15/2003 9:28:01 PM PST by x1stcav
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To: x1stcav; All
Okay, better tin-foil up for this one...here goes.....

GW has been kissing Fox'x ass since 9/11 for one reason...CHINA! So what does China have to do with Mexico? (better really foil-up for this one!) We share a very large "border" with Mexico. If we start deploying troops along the Mexican border and generally start treating them like we should, they might turn to the OTHER country with a lot of money and big military...our good friends the Chinese! They are already running the Panama canal and Mexico can host a hole lot of troops from the other side of the planet. It would take years, but the Chinese are patient. IMHO, the last thing we need is to have China massing a presence in our own back yard when we are currently spreading out troops thin all over fighting terrorism. [/foil]
48 posted on 03/15/2003 9:28:21 PM PST by Orangedog (Soccer-Moms are the biggest threat to your freedoms and the republic !)
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To: cajungirl
We need a website just for the damn boycotts.

We need an official freeper boycott thread.

49 posted on 03/15/2003 9:31:39 PM PST by frei_staat
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To: Orangedog
Excellent point. I understand that approximatelt 25% of the population of Panama now are 'guest workers', i.e. Chicoms.

Thanks, Jimmy.
50 posted on 03/15/2003 9:31:45 PM PST by x1stcav
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To: MoscowMike
They have been a sad excuse for a friend in the past,

They have NEVER been our friend. Name one time that they have acted as allies. Not a jab, but a serious challenge.

51 posted on 03/15/2003 9:34:36 PM PST by Centurion2000 (Take charge of your destiny, or someone else will)
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To: MoscowMike
If Mexico doesn't vote yes, we will see mass deportation of illegal aliens. The President won't want to do it, but he will not have a choice. The People will demand it.
52 posted on 03/15/2003 9:37:37 PM PST by B Knotts
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To: MoscowMike
Mexico fears backlash from vote on Iraq

Gee, ya think?

53 posted on 03/15/2003 9:40:06 PM PST by teletech (Can we bomb Saddam, NOW!?)
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To: Orangedog
OTOH, China is highly dependent on us, too.
54 posted on 03/15/2003 9:41:12 PM PST by B Knotts
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To: Steve Eisenberg
Actually, I disagree with that. The days of mass-manufacturing in the US may be gone, but lookfor mini-manufactures and home based manufactures to replace a lot of overseas competition, as the process becomes ever more specialized and the cost to re-tool goes up for large production runs.

I have two product lines right now I am looking to manufacture rather than contract out because I can do it better, faster and less expensive. The equipment and technology is becoming less expensive and the prices for overseas production and shipping is going up. Not only that I can control the stock levels more efficiently, keeping more cash.

I really believe we will be returning to the days when there was a blacksmith, shoe maker etc. in every town. They will just be injection mold makers or whatever.

But then, I could be full of it.
55 posted on 03/15/2003 9:50:35 PM PST by bluecollarman
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To: B Knotts
But the US is the onlt thing slowing down their plans to take Taiwan and anything else they want to "annex". In another decade, the money from us will not be a big enough factor to keep them in check. We are a problem that they will have to deal with eventually.
56 posted on 03/15/2003 9:52:34 PM PST by Orangedog (Soccer-Moms are the biggest threat to your freedoms and the republic !)
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To: cajungirl
"Oh my, our boycotts are getting out of hand. What with the French, and the Dixie Chicks, and the peaceniks, and the eastern liberal establishments. We have to limit our major boycotts to one country at a time."

I say, the more the merrier. You wouldn't necessarily have to boycott Mexico, just shut off the illegal immigration. That would be very much noticed in Mexico and would also help with the war on terror.
57 posted on 03/15/2003 9:53:36 PM PST by hoosierpearl (One nation under God.)
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To: MoscowMike
"Fox and Bush were close"......

Close, does not make friends...
Parasites are close to their host....and are bloodsuckers, not friends....

Fox is misnamed....he is a parasite...

Semper Fi

58 posted on 03/15/2003 9:58:50 PM PST by river rat (War works.....It brings Peace... Give war a chance to destroy Jihadists...)
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Dont worry, bush won't let his good buddy fox down.
59 posted on 03/15/2003 10:00:29 PM PST by KneelBeforeZod (Deus Lo Volt!)
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hmm. Manifest Destiny vs. Let's go live in the desert.

just as ye sow ye shaw reap mexico...
60 posted on 03/15/2003 10:03:00 PM PST by KneelBeforeZod (Deus Lo Volt!)
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