Posted on 12/09/2002 3:01:01 AM PST by kattracks
NEW ORLEANS (AP) -- Sen. Mary Landrieu's campaign workers searched in bowling alleys, supermarkets and beauty parlors. They looked just about anywhere for Democrats who hadn't yet cast a ballot on election day.
The strategy appears to have paid off.
Landrieu defeated Suzanne Haik Terrell in a runoff Saturday, overcoming an intense last-minute campaign blitz by prominent Republicans including President Bush and former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani.
Donna Brazile, a Democratic campaign strategist who worked on Landrieu's re-election campaign, said Landrieu countered with support from two key areas: John Breaux, Louisiana's senior senator, and the state's black political leaders.
But Brazile said the big reason for Landrieu's win was voter turnout in New Orleans, a Democratic stronghold where campaign workers worked throughout election day to find people who hadn't voted, then goaded them to the ballot box.
"I saw a lot of Democrats go down this year, but we got back into the streets for this one. We had the bodies on the street," said Brazile.
Republicans launched a "72-hour" plan, with Bush, Giuliani and other heavyweights leaving recorded phone messages that urged likely Republican voters to get to the polls.
But the Democrats were more successful, particularly among blacks.
Complete but unofficial returns had Landrieu with 643,359 votes, or 52 percent, to 603,293 for Terrell. Landrieu carried 35 of the state's 64 parishes.
Landrieu took the urban areas with heavy black voter concentrations and Terrell won most of the suburbs.
Terrell's campaign was boosted by Bush and other national Republicans, but Landrieu got help inside Louisiana -- particularly from black lawmakers and religious leaders. State Sen. Cleo Fields, a prominent Democrat from Baton Rouge, initially withheld his endorsement. But 48 hours before election day, he lent his voice to telephone messages and radio ads, urging voters to choose Landrieu.
Black leaders from Lafayette, Shreveport and Monroe also recorded pro-Landrieu messages, as did Rep. William Jefferson of New Orleans.
"Bill Jefferson was a rock star. We played him all over the state," said Brazile, who was campaign manager for Al Gore's unsuccessful 2000 presidential bid.
Terrell's loss was a turnaround for Bush, whose campaign appearances in the midterm elections were credited with nationwide Republican victories that gave the GOP control of the Senate. Republicans now have a slim Senate majority, with 51 seats.
Landrieu's "victory puts a happy ending on a tough year for Democrats," Sen. Joseph Lieberman, D-Conn., said on "Fox News Sunday."
Through a White House spokesman, Bush congratulated Landrieu. Terrell did not make a public appearance Sunday.
Copyright 2002 Associated Press. All rights reserved.
NEWARK DISPATCH The New Republic
Knock and Drag
by Ryan Lizza
Post date 11.09.00 | Issue date 11.20.00
Regena Thomas is not a speechwriter or a campaign manager. She doesn't craft political ads or appear on the Sunday talk shows. Even among political junkies, she's virtually unknown. But she's one of the most important Democratic Party operatives in the country. In fact, Thomas—along with others like her—is a big reason the Democrats have now exceeded expectations in three consecutive national elections.
Thomas gets black voters to the polls. With her help and $65 million, Jon Corzine won a New Jersey Senate seat this week; Al Gore took the state's 15 electoral votes going away. And Thomas's turnout operation, developed in New Jersey, has been replicated to similar effect across the country. Programs in Philadelphia and Detroit helped Gore win crucial swing states Pennsylvania and Michigan. In New York, Hillary Clinton's turnout program helped her crush Rick Lazio by twelve points, with black turnout increasing 2 percent relative to the 1998 Senate race. In all-important Florida, black turnout jumped from 10 percent in 1996 to 16 percent this year, even though blacks make up just 13 percent of the voting-age population. In Missouri, another swing state, black turnout jumped seven points from 1996. "Black turnout was astronomical," says Thomas, who, in addition to New Jersey, worked on turnout programs in Missouri, Delaware, Michigan, Florida, and Virginia. "Our margins of victory were in urban areas."
Democrats have a simple phrase that sums up their voter-turnout effort: "knock and drag." A crew of paid workers storms through predominantly black neighborhoods and coaxes, cajoles, or browbeats every registered voter to the polls. It's a form of political activity that was well-known in the big-city, white-ethnic machines of the past but has only recently emerged as a key to black turnout. In 1989, the late Ron Brown, then the newly appointed chairman of the Democratic National Committee, introduced a revolutionary way to conduct Democratic campaigns, which he called the "coordinated campaign." It required all the candidates on the Democratic ticket in each state to pool a portion of their resources for a joint effort to turn out Democratic voters. In 1989 test races in New Jersey and Virginia, the plan was a startling success, and it became the model used to elect Bill Clinton and Al Gore in 1992. After the 1994 Republican landslide, when the Democratic base stayed home, the party refined the concept, dispatching a team of consultants to New Jersey to poll and conduct focus groups with black voters. "The reason that we came to New Jersey is that New Jersey's African American voters have a reputation for being historically one of the toughest African American electorates in the country," says Ron Lester, a black pollster and Corzine consultant. In 1996, Thomas put the model to work for Democratic Representative Robert Torricelli, who was locked in a dead-heat Senate race with Republican Richard Zimmer. But on Election Day Torricelli won by ten points. His margin came almost entirely from black voters. New Jersey Democrats had found the key to electoral victory.
The following year, applying the turnout techniques of the Torricelli campaign, Democrat Jim McGreevey came from nowhere to within 26,000 votes of unseating popular Governor Christie Todd Whitman, with Whitman's share of the black vote dropping eight points from her 1993 race. A study comparing the tight 1997 race to Whitman's 1993 victory over Democrat Jim Florio—who had no black turnout program—is treated like a state secret within the party. "It's remarkable," says Corzine campaign manager Stephan DeMicco, who declined to share a copy of the study with me. "It's got too much strategic power for us.... The study of '93 to '97 has resulted in whole new approaches to electoral targeting for us. The lessons that we learned from that study ... are being applied in many other states now."
"We actually call it ... the New Jersey Plan," says Thomas, who, like DeMicco, is a veteran of New Jersey campaigns going back to 1996. "When we go to Georgia, they will tell you, it's the New Jersey Plan." Thomas, along with three other prominent black Democratic women—Gore campaign manager Donna Brazile; Bill Clinton's political director, Minyon Moore; and Allison McLaurin of the Democratic Governor's Association—has taken the lead in promoting the turnout model within the party. The four call themselves "The Colored Girls Club."
Two nights before Election Day, I find Thomas in a tiny office in downtown Newark. Scattered about are signs reading AFRICAN-AMERICANS FOR GORE-LIEBERMAN and STAY OUT THE BUSHES. On the floor are two six-inch stacks of checks made out in the amounts of $50 and $75—daily pay for part-time and full-time campaign workers, respectively. At her desk, Thomas is poring over pages and pages of numbers on what are called "vote goal sheets." It looks for all the world like a thrown-together, backroom operation.
But, despite its crude, low-tech appearance, Thomas's procedure is very sophisticated. "We start with this," Thomas says, tossing me a thick report titled "Electoral Targeting With Vote Goals." It comes from a Washington-based organization called the National Committee for an Effective Congress (NCEC), a little-known, left-leaning operation that provides the Democratic Party and labor unions with electoral data. Ncec's state reports include vital information about the voting history and trends of every precinct. In addition, they provide Thomas with a special precinct-by-precinct report on African American and Latino voting patterns. Using the two reports, Thomas decides which precincts to apply the base turnout model to; then, she develops a vote goal for each of those precincts on Election Day. "This is their playbook, their bible," she says, showing me a list of targeted precincts. "All my municipal coordinators have this." The sheet shows each precinct's registered voters, turnout history, Democratic performance, and, most important, vote goal. Precincts where turnout is low but Democratic performance is high are marked in red, since they constitute prime knock-and-drag territory on Election Day. Thomas points out Atlantic City's Ward One, Precinct Two as an example: Historically, 82 percent of the precinct's vote is Democratic, but the turnout is a relatively low 40 percent. "I got to bring that [40 percent figure] up," she says.
Once targeted districts are identified, Thomas begins a pre-program consisting of direct mail, phone calls, and visits to voters' homes. In the precinct mentioned above, for example, the Democrats sent six mailings to the 799 households that ncec had identified there. Crafting the mailings constituted a challenge, because Gore generated only tepid support among African Americans and George W. Bush proved a difficult man to demonize. And so Democrats did what they so often do when it comes to the black vote: They called the Republicans racist. One flyer featured Bush against the backdrop of a Confederate flag. Mail on behalf of Corzine said his opponent, Bob Franks, "thinks it's OK to teach our kids in trailers" and "will be hazardous to your family's health." But the most effective piece of mail sent to black voters targeted a Republican who isn't even running this year: It showcased the infamous picture of a smiling Whitman frisking a black man with his arms spread against a wall. "Republicans Like Governor Whitman Think Racial Profiling Is a Joke," the caption read.
In addition to these mailings, Thomas hit black voters with live phone calls urging them to vote. On the Monday before the election, voters were given a reminder call; on Election Day itself, a massive phone bank operated from 8:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. "Those phones are on a continual cycle," Thomas says. "The only way [a voter] comes out of the cycle is if [he] answers the phone." When a district is performing below Thomas's expectations, she can immediately retarget the phones, increasing calls to that area.
All this is supplemented by a radio and TV campaign that reaches saturation levels in the days leading up to the election. To listen to hip-hop and R&B stations the day before Election Day is to experience relentless political bombardment. "Republicans will roll back the progress Clinton has achieved," cautions one ad. In another, Jesse Jackson urges voters to take Tuesday off from work, warning, "All that Dr. King achieved can be overturned in one Supreme Court session." Minutes later Hillary Clinton is on the air talking about racial profiling and insisting, "If you stick with me, I'll stick with you." Next up is her husband, the president, with a paid ad making the case for Gore, Joe Lieberman, Corzine, and Hillary. Seconds later, Bill Clinton is back on the same station, this time for a live interview. "When they target the black community," says Thomas aide Rahman "Rock" Muhammad, "they target the black community."
The night before the election, I tag along on a bus trip to put up posters in Newark. The organization doing the postering is called the Labor Action Committee, a group of black turnout specialists that the Corzine campaign has hired to rack up huge margins in majority-black cities in Essex County, such as Newark and Orange. The Labor Action Committee is run by James Benjamin, a union man and veteran of New Jersey campaigns who decided to privatize his operation and cash in on the Corzine spending spree.
Volunteers seem a thing of the past, at least in the Corzine campaign, which essentially operated as a low-paying jobs program for thousands of people across New Jersey. Where exactly all these workers came from became a campaign issue in the final days of the race, when The New York Times discovered that many were being shipped in from homeless shelters and drug-rehab centers in Pennsylvania. Most of the men I spent time with had no discernible affinity for Gore, Corzine, or any other Democrat. Nor is there much in the way of on-the-job cheer: During the ride to Newark, the team leader, Bruce, scolds everyone because two staple guns went missing the night before. "No one is getting paid if one is missing tonight," he says. He warns the workers that they can be easily replaced because "there are plenty of folks who want to do what we do." When he asks if there are any questions, the only response is, "When do we get paid?" Later, an argument breaks out on the bus over who is assigned to what job. Apparently those who put up posters earn $5 more than those who distribute literature, and several men who want to do poster detail are told they can't. "You can't even buy a bag of weed with five dollars," a guy behind me laughs.
But, in the end, the blanket coverage—the mail, calls, ads, and posters—is still only a warm-up for the ground game that Thomas has planned for 559 African American precincts on Election Day. I spend November 7 with Benjamin's Labor Action Committee, which has 39 vehicles and hundreds of paid workers covering Essex County.
The operation works like this: Benjamin assigns a watcher to the polls in each targeted district; those poll watchers report vote counts back to headquarters every two hours. There, in the "count room," staffers monitor the returns and decide which precincts are meeting their goals and which aren't. When a precinct is underperforming, Benjamin can increase phone calls to people in that precinct or send in a team of "flushers" to knock-and-drag voters to the polls. Meanwhile, sound trucks roam the targeted precincts, playing music and urging people to go to the polls.
Things go smoothly throughout the morning and early afternoon, with most precincts meeting or exceeding expectations. But, at about 2:30 p.m., Benjamin gets a phone call that throws him into a panic. Rushing into the phone-bank room, he yells, "All calls into Newark! Turnout is not as high as it should be." Minutes later, he begins sending teams into Newark and nearby Irvington. "We're going to do a pullout," he announces. We jump into a minivan and race to a satellite office in Irvington, where we are met by dozens of Benjamin's workers. Benjamin shouts a request into his cell phone, and 50 students from Seton Hall University are on their way to reinforce his ranks. Benjamin collects everyone in a parking lot and dispatches them into the field in small teams. "Understand the mission," he instructs his flushers. "The mission is to get a registered voter out of their home and to the polls. Ladies and gentlemen, we are in very bad shape. I want you to load up on everything that moves." He then takes aside a sound-truck driver and traces a route for him to follow. Minutes later, the teams are blanketing the streets, knocking on doors and dragging out voters.
After Benjamin has dispersed his forces, he takes me with him for a quick check of the other field offices, including one responsible for turning out the vote in Newark's housing projects. (In one of these projects, Corzine's outreach effort consisted largely of having his photo taken with a popular resident nicknamed Big Mama. "It's simple: Take a picture of Jon and Big Mama," Thomas explained to the Newark Star-Ledger, "put it on a flier. Nothing fancy.")
I return to Thomas's headquarters around 6:00 p.m. to find her laughing and talking on the phone. Having left the Newark operation to Benjamin, she spent the day in the southern part of the state, strengthening the turnout effort in places like Trenton. "I just got back from South Jersey," she says into the receiver. "There's a precinct down there that never ever got over ninety-two [voters]. They were at one hundred two at one p.m." When I tell her about the trouble in Newark, she phones the Corzine war room and has the latest results sent over. They show that at 5:00 p.m. all her precincts were on target to meet or exceed their goals. She has just helped win New Jersey for Gore and elect Corzine to the U.S. Senate.
In fact, Thomas tells me, those were just her public vote goals. She actually has two sets of targets: the set she gave to her coordinators and a set with even higher vote goals that she kept to herself. Well, not completely to herself; she privately challenged Benjamin to meet the higher goals. "Me and Benjamin have a thousand-dollar bounty internally on this," she admits. When I ask if she owes Benjamin $1,000, she smiles and nods her head.
Copyright 2000, The New Republic
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How about a thread with intellectual comments.
The article is disingenuous left wing journalism at its best! None of the activities mentioned is exactly illegal. What if fails to mention are the illegal activities that surround the activity!
"Registered voters," sure. Registered years ago at another address and under another name. Or at several other addresses, including the actual present address.
"Registered Voters" who died sometime between 1789 and the last election. Whole families of them.
"Registered Voters," under one or more names. A dozen is not unheard of.
"Registered Voters" who are registered in one or more addresses. Sometimes they are the "homeless," who, on Election Day become extremely valuable citizens.
"Registered Voters" in all of the above categories who vote by Absentee Ballots, or multiple absentee ballots. This effort is usually headquartered in churches.
"Registered Voters" who fill in multiple absentees as above, or have it done for them not, and then jump into vans and vote in multiple precincts, where guess what, they are: "Registered Voters!".
"Registered Voters," who are felons, illegal aliens, or in the most sophisicated variants of all, do not exist, except as "Registered Voters."
Add to these "Registered Voter" rolls every mechanical trick, vote counting chicanery, lost ballot box ... all the hoary old canards you can think of and there you have them in all their glory:
"Registered Voters:" Donna (Just Get Me Close)Brazile's Mysteriously Turned Out Magical Last Minute Voters. And I shouldn't be at all surprised, Moon Landrieu's Daughter's "Black Vote" Margin of Victory.
Uh, Joe.... I hardly think that a 4 point win for an incumbent in a democratic state is a 'landslide' victory. But, of course, in your opinion, I guess a squeaky victory is better than no victory at all....
Apt choice of words. Wonder how much it cost her to "knock and drag" them to the polls? Do you think they also "encouraged" conservative voters to the polls?
Isn't it frightening how she tries to look like Hillary?
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