New Zogby Poll (zogby poll is wrong its not a tie or the economy stupid)

zogby ^ | 10/31/2002 | John Zogby

[TLBSHOW]

Released: October 31, 2002 Congressional Generic: Democrat 51% - GOP 49%; Most Influential Voter Issue: The Economy; Bush Job Performance Still Strong at 64%; Democrats Now Best Suited to Handle Economy, Latest Zogby America Poll Reveals

The race for control of Congress is neck and neck and too close to call, latest Zogby America Poll results show.

In the final Zogby America Poll before the November 5th elections, 51% of likely voters nationwide say they will vote Democratic in the upcoming Congressional elections, and 49% say they will vote for a Republican candidate. The poll, conducted of 1,006 likely voters nationwide between Oct. 26-29 has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.2%.

President George W. Bush continues to receive a strong job performance endorsement from likely voters, with a 64% positive, 35% negative job performance rating. In September, Bush received a 63% positive, 36% negative job performance rating, compared to the 64% positive, 36% negative rating he received in August.

Results also show that 49% say Bush deserves re-election, compared to 35% who say it is time for someone new.

Other Zogby America Poll results show that economy/jobs is again the clear number one issue that will be most influential in the way voters vote November 5th. Economy/jobs is the most influential issue by 20% of likely voters, followed by education at 12%, taxes at 10%, terrorism/safety and healthcare (both at 7%), and Social Security and the war, both at 5%. In September, economy/jobs was the number one issue most influential for 22% of those polled, followed by terrorism/safety (10%), taxes (10%) and the war (10%).

Latest Zogby America Poll results also show that Democrats are now judged the party best suited to handle the economy (43% - 41%). In June, Republicans were judged best suited to handle the economy (44%-38%).

Pollster John Zogby: "Barring a late calamity or anything else unforeseen, neither party goes into this election with the upper hand. The economy is the issue, as we have been saying for months, but the Democrats do not seem to be poised to take advantage. The last few Congressional elections have been virtually tied. Add another tie."

[TLBSHOW]

zogby poll is wrong its not a tie or the economy stupid

Paul Begala called his book "It is still the economy stupid" and now John Zogby appears and says the same thing. I wonder if Carville thought this plan up? Mind you this poll was taken before the Wellstone mess that the democrats did the other night.

The new zogby poll is out and John says its the economy that is on voters minds and that America is at a tie again.

I hate to shatter zogbys dream but from what I see the defense of this nation is number one and we are about to see a republican landslide next week in the 2002 election. Just like the profilers were way off with the sniper, so is Zogby with the 2002 election.

[sinkspur]

but from what I see the defense of this nation is number one and we are about to see a republican landslide next week in the 2002 election.

You're dreaming.

The GOP will retain the House but the Senate will likely remain exactly the way it is, or even two Dem seats up.

[jpl]

I'm rooting for a Republican sweep as much as anyone, but I'm afraid that Zogby is correct that control of Congress is too close to call, particularly if you're talking about the Senate.

One thing about Zogby, he has all the inside info on the Democratic Party dirty tricks when it comes to vote fraud and stealing elections. Never dismiss this guy out of hand.

[Goatroper]

I sure hope you are right, and I believe you are! I have stopped watching slope and snake head. Can't take it anymore.

[coramdeo]

Too close to call means voter turnout is everything. We know what we need to do!

[AlGone2001]

The GOP will retain the House but the Senate will likely remain exactly the way it is, or even two Dem seats up.

I thought that until I saw how the democrats acted at the Wellstone tribute.

That meeting pushed more swing voters across the country away from democrats than it did to atract voters.

I believe we can call it Operation Backfire.

[Russell Scott]

Another terrorist attack on the scale of 9/11 would do far more damage to the economy than any legislation. Its terrorism stupid!

[Doctor Stochastic]

Zogby has generally been pretty accurate over the last 8 or so years. It really is the economy.

[Gophack]

Even if we grant a 51-49 Dem favorable generic ballot, this is still good news for Republicans. Dems represent (predominantly) urban areas where are consistently oversampled in polls because they are population centers, and the Dems are packed into those districts. A good friend of mine who has been a political hack/consultant for 30+ years said that if Reps are within 3 of the generic congressional polls, we're winning.

[KC_Conspirator]

So terrorism is tied for last place as a concern of Americans? Is that maybe because the Zogby family lobby in their spare time for terrorists? This poll stinks to high heaven of bias.

[Gophack]

Too close to call means voter turnout is everything. We know what we need to do!

Very true ... it's up to the grassroots to get out the vote.

[Gophack]

I think terrorism and the war should be merged into one because they really go hand-in-hand under a heading like "national security", which would make it 20% and a close second to the economy.

[deport]

TLB... don't look for the House to change hands (Zog's numbers reflect national feel but this isn't a national election, but rather 435 individual races among about 635,000 voters in each race) ..... but the Senate is really up in the air and it depends upon how the undecideds break over the weekend....

[Highest Authority]

Zogby has lost all of his credibility since 9/11. He is so anti Republican that it's starting to show, bigtime. My prediction: GOP holds the House and wins the Senate with one seat to spare!!!

[rwfromkansas]

It keeps seesawing back and forth.....does anyone know what the last Zogby poll had....and the one before that, so we can get a comparison?

Basically, one week it shows the GOP just barely leading..than the next, the Dems just barely. The Dems (I think) are not increasing their lead really here.

[ItisaReligionofPeace]

I wish they would also ask the respondents what it is exactly the democrats can do for the economy.

[deport]

635,000 voters in each race = s/b 635,000 constituents in each race

[rwfromkansas]

I did find an OLD Zogby poll....but nothing recent. In July, the Dems were up by a point then also. Nothing has really gone their way significantly.

[rwfromkansas]

A lot of the other generic ballot polls are showing a slow movement toward the GOP. I would say we are still in good shape......it will be close. Hopefully the undecideds will break toward the GOP and those that would go for the Dems just stay home.