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Lula: Is He Going To Have Brazil Go For Broke
Free Congress Foundation's Notable News Now ^ | 10-08-02 | Paul M. Weyrich

Posted on 10/09/2002 3:28:44 AM PDT by backhoe

 
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From: "Notable News Now" <NotableNewsNow@freecongress.org
Sent: Tuesday, October 08, 2002 9:56 PM
Subject: fcfnnn100902 Inside: Paul M. Weyrich's Commentary: Lula: Is He Going To Have Brazil Go For Broke?


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Free Congress Foundation's
Notable News Now
October 9, 2002


The Free Congress Commentary
Lula: Is He Going To Have
Brazil Go For Broke?
By Paul M. Weyrich



The results from this Sunday's election in Brazil should be a red flag to
conservatives in the United States that the gains most countries in South
America have made over the last decade are about to come further undone.
Placing first in the balloting for a new president of Brazil was Luiz Inacio
Lula da Silva. "Lula," as he is called, may dress more conservatively these
days because he has taken to wearing suits rather than jeans, and is trying
to sound more moderate and reasonable. No matter how much he tries to make
his agenda look a pale shade of "pink," he is at heart a red Marxist.
Conservatives in the United States certainly do not buy this new "Lula,"
even though Brazilian voters must decide which Socialist candidate in the
October 27th runoff is the lesser of two evils. The second balloting
provides some hope that Lula can be stopped.  

Lula is the candidate of the Workers Party, and has already run three losing
campaigns for the presidency of Brazil. He is a former union leader. His
opponent in the runoff will be Jose Serra, the candidate of the Brazilian
Social Democracy Party, which is a member of the current coalition governing
Brazil. But it is worth noting that there was no credible center-right
choice in this election because the candidate who represented the Liberal
Front Party, which had been a member of the coalition representing the
current government, saw her candidacy founder on charges of corruption.   

Some think Lula will win a majority on the 27th by garnering votes from
supporters of the two candidates who were also-rans in this Sunday's
balloting: Ciro Gomes of the People's Socialist Party (the former Brazilian
Communist Party) and Anthony Garotinho of the Socialist Party of Brazil.  

But that thinking may turn out to be wrong. Another school of thought holds
that Lula has maximized his support as the candidate of the Left in the
first round. If Serra can find and develop significant contrasts between
himself and Lula, that can help to reframe the election as one in which
voting for Lula presents a risk to the well-being of Brazilians.

Already, Serra has made an effort to do that, calling for abortion to remain
illegal in Brazil, which may help him with Brazil's more traditionally
minded voters. There are even more issues for him to exploit against Lula.
But the quieter, more understated Serra will need to skillfully polarize the
contest while not losing his core base. This runoff will be a true test of
his political skills.

"Lula," on the other hand, is considered to be a cagey, charismatic
politician. He has been at the vanguard of the Latin American left and
should be judged by the company that he keeps.

He is an ally of Cuban dictator Fidel Castro and is opposed to a continued
embargo by the United States against Cuba. Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez,
whose policies have wreaked havoc on his country, is considered to be
another friend of Lula's. As The American Society for the Defense of
Tradition, Family and Property has noted, "Lula" has been a regular at
anti-globalism rallies in Brazil in which our American flags are burned
while Cuba's are held high by demonstrators.

Most disturbing is Lula's threat to have Brazil forego adherence to the
Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty. "Why is it that someone asks me to put
down my weapons and only keep a slingshot while he keeps a cannon pointed at
me," he has asked rhetorically. "Brazil will only be respected in the world
when it turns into an economic, technological, military power."   

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher has quoted Lula as having said Brazil's sticking to
the treaty's guidelines "would make sense only if all countries that already
have nuclear weapons also gave them up." Rohrabacher is outraged and
rightfully so. If Brazil, under Lula, scuttles participation in that treaty,
it would sabotage our relations with his country, perhaps even igniting a
deadly arms race in South America or making Brazil a supplier of dangerous
weaponry to terrorist states or organizations.

As part of his effort to project an image of moderation, Lula has jettisoned
his past talk of having Brazil default on loan payments. He now talks of
cooperating with the guidelines of the International Monetary Fund for
reform. But many in Brazil view his newfound moderation to be nothing but
talk. When a poll on September 24th showed Lula closing in on a majority,
the stock market in Sao Paulo took a dramatic downward turn. The Brazilian
markets suffered again with news of his strong first-place showing. 

United States corporations including Ford, GM and Cargill, much less to say
our banks that have invested in Brazil, have reason to be about the
consequences of a Lula victory. Many Brazilian and foreign investors doubt
that he really has the backbone to make the tough decisions needed to bring
order to Brazil's problem-plagued economy.  There's plenty of ground for
reasonable doubt about Lula, not withstanding his leftist views, just
because he has no prior experience in holding elective office. The Economist
has called Lula "fuzzy on policy details."    

Moreover, even if Lula's red agenda is at least momentarily paled down on
economic issues during the campaign season, there is no doubt whatsoever
that his platform will definitely be bad for those in Brazil who believe in
traditional values. Because Lula advocates the policies that promote
abortion, homosexuality, and legalized prostitution in a country that has
traditionally looked to Christianity for moral guidance.

Even before the first round of balloting had taken place, conservatives and
even moderates in Congress were sounding the alarm bell about what a Lula
presidency might mean. A letter signed by noted congressional foreign policy
experts Ben Gilman (R-NY), a moderate, Chris Smith (R-NJ), a conservative,
and eleven other House members including Rohrabacher, that expresses concern
about Lula's election and its implications has been sent to President Bush.
They asked that the State Department assess the threat that Lula's election
would pose to security in the Americas. 

The letter notes that Lula and Castro established in 1990 the leftist
meeting called the "Forum of Sao Paolo," which convenes leftist leaders and
organizations regularly. The last meeting was in December 2001 in Havana.
Participants at that forum included Colombia's FARC that has committed
numerous acts of violence against law-abiding Colombians and foreigners and
has links to narcotics traffickers, and its National Liberation Army,
another Marxist group, that engages in kidnapping. Peru's Tupac Amaru, which
in 1996 held 72 hostages for over four months at the Japanese ambassador's
residence in Lima, also were represented.   So was Nicaragua's  Daniel
Ortega.  

The fact that Lula associates with the worst elements of Latin America
should make clear that this is no moderate that Brazilians are being asked
to elect as their next President. Voters may think that he is a break from
the status quo. But they should not be surprised to discover if they elect
him that what Lula really represents is a return to the failed policies of
the past that left South American countries bankrupt, their citizens
impoverished, and their political and economic systems unstable. Lula's
apparent interest in kicking off a new arms race in South America may end up
hurting the very people he talks of wanting to help because it will mean
either taking away money from social programs or jacking up government
spending and creating an inflationary spiral.

So Lula may be wearing suits these days, but his policies could end up
putting Brazil in a straitjacket.

Paul M. Weyrich is chairman and CEO of the Free Congress Foundation.    

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TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 10/09/2002 3:28:44 AM PDT by backhoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: backhoe
The Web of Terror

Castro, the Carribean, and Terrorism

2 posted on 10/09/2002 3:33:16 AM PDT by backhoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: backhoe

A New Axis of Evil

The Southern Threat

Voice of America Mute as Brazil Awaits 'Revenge of the Sandinistas'


The Brazilian 2002 Elections:
A Stacked Deck?


Jesse Jackson compares Brazil candidate to Martin Luther King, Nelson Mandela

Beware the Looming Threat From the South


3 posted on 10/09/2002 4:58:58 PM PDT by Tailgunner Joe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Tailgunner Joe
I'll use those links- thanks!
4 posted on 10/09/2002 5:21:47 PM PDT by backhoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Tailgunner Joe
US scents political shift in Latin America

Marxist-Inspired Cuban-Venezuelan-Brazilian Axis Could Create Massive Problems For U.S.


5 posted on 10/22/2002 5:45:30 PM PDT by Tailgunner Joe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Tailgunner Joe
BRAZIL SOURCE OF SADDAM'S URANIUM? BLOCKING A NEW AXIS OF EVIL
LA NUEVA CUBA | 10/25/2002 | Constantine C. Menges


Posted on 10/25/2002 9:14 AM Pacific by Dqban22


BRAZIL SOURCE OF SADDAM'S URANIUM? BLOCKING A NEW AXIS OF EVIL

"(In Brazil)Between 1965 and 1994, the military actively worked to develop nuclear weapons, it successfully designed two atomic bombs and was reportedly on the verge of testing one nuclear device when a newly elected democratic government and a Brazilian congressional investigation caused the program to be shut down.

That investigation revealed, however, that the military had sold eight tons of uranium to Iraq in 1981. It is also reported that after Brazil's successful ballistic missile program was ended, the general and 24 of the scientists working on it went to work for Iraq. There are reports that with financing from Iraq, a nuclear weapons capability has been covertly maintained contrary to directives from the civilian democratic leaders."

Constantine C. Menges

Colaboración: Paul Echaniz E.U.

La Nueva Cuba

Octubre 25, 2002




A new terrorist and nuclear weapons/ballistic missile threat may well come from an axis including Cuba's Fidel Castro, the Chavez regime in Venezuela and a newly elected radical president of Brazil, all with links to Iraq, Iran and China. Visiting Iran last year. Mr. Castro said: "Iran and Cuba can bring America to its knees," while Chavez expressed his admiration for Saddam Hussein during a visit to Iraq.

The new axis is still preventable, but if the pro-Castro candidate is elected president of Brazil, the results could include a radical regime in Brazil re-establishing its nuclear weapon and ballistic missile programs, developing close links to state sponsors of terrorism such as Cuba, Iraq and Iran, and participating in the destabilization of fragile neighboring democracies. This could lead to 300 million people in six countries coming under the control of radical anti-U.S. regimes and the possibility that thousands of newly indoctrinated terrorists might try to attack the United States from Latin America. Yet, the administration in Washington seems to be paying little attention.

Brazilians will hold presidential elections in October, and if current polling is any guide the winner could be a pro-Castro radical with extensive ties to international terrorism. His name is Luis Inacio da Silva, the presidential candidate of the Workers Party who is currently at about 40 percent in the polls. The Communist candidate is second with 25 percent and the pro-democratic contender is at about 14 percent.

Mr. da Silva makes no secret of his sympathies. He has been an ally of Mr. Castro for more than 25 years. With Mr. Castro's support, Mr.da Silva founded the Sao Paulo Forum in 1990 as an annual meeting of communist and other radical terrorist and political organizations from Latin America, Europe and the Middle East. This has been used to coordinate and plan terrorist and political activities around the world and against the United States. The last meeting was held in Havana, Cuba in December 2001. It involved terrorists from Latin America, Europe and the Middle East, and sharply condemned the Bush administration and its actions against international terrorism.

Like Mr. Castro, Mr. da Silva blames the United States and "neo-liberalism" for all the real social and economic problems still facing Brazil and Latin America. Mr. Da Silva has called the Free Trade Area of the Americas a plot by the United States to "annex" Brazil, and he has said that the international lenders who seek repayment of their $250 billion in loans are "economic terrorists." He has also said that those who are moving their money out of Brazil because they fear his regime are "economic terrorists." This gives a hint about the kind of "war against terrorism" his regime will conduct.

Brazil is a vast, richly endowed country, nearly the size of the United States with a population of about 180 million and the world's eighth largest economy (with a GDP of more than $1.1 trillion). It could soon become one of the world's nuclear armed powers as well. Between 1965 and 1994, the military actively worked to develop nuclear weapons, it successfully designed two atomic bombs and was reportedly on the verge of testing one nuclear device when a newly elected democratic government and a Brazilian congressional investigation caused the program to be shut down.

That investigation revealed, however, that the military had sold eight tons of uranium to Iraq in 1981. It is also reported that after Brazil's successful ballistic missile program was ended, the general and 24 of the scientists working on it went to work for Iraq. There are reports that with financing from Iraq, a nuclear weapons capability has been covertly maintained contrary to directives from the civilian democratic leaders.

Mr. da Silva has said Brazil should have nuclear weapons and move closer to China, which has been actively courting the Brazilian military. China has sold Brazil enriched uranium and has invested in the Brazilian aerospace industry, resulting in a joint imagery/reconnaissance satellite.

Brazil shares common borders with 10 other countries in South America. This would help da Silva to emulate — as he has said he would — the foreign policy of the pro-Castro and pro-Iraq Chavez regime in Venezuela, which has provided support to the communist narco-terrorist FARC in Colombia as well as other anti-democratic groups in other South American countries. Hugo Chavez worked with Mr. Castro to temporarily destabilize the fragile democracy in Ecuador two years ago. Now both support the radical socialist leader of the cocaine growers, Evo Morales, who hopes to become president of Bolivia this August.

Along with helping the communist guerrillas take power in the embattled democracy in Colombia, a da Silva regime in Brazil would be well situated to aide communists, narco-terrorists and other anti-democratic groups in destabilizing the fragile democracies of Bolivia, Ecuador and Peru, as well as to exploit the deep economic crisis in Argentina and Paraguay.

Further, a da Silva regime is likely to default on its debt, causing a sharp economic downturn in all of Latin America, thereby increasing the vulnerability of its democracies. This could also trigger a second phase of economic downturn in the United Staes as export markets contracted.

A Castro-Chavez-da Silva axis would mean linking 43 years of Fidel Castro's political warfare against the United States with the oil wealth of Venezuela and the nuclear weapons/ ballistic missile and economic potential of Brazil.

Come our own elections in November 2004, Americans may ask: Who lost South America? The United States was politically passive during the Clinton administration, when it ignored the pleas of Venezuela's democratic leaders for help in opposing the anti-constitutional and illegal actions of Mr. Chavez and also ignored his public alliances with state sponsors of terrorism. Why can't the Bush administration act before 20 years of democratic gains in Latin America were allowed to be reversed? Why can't anything be done before a vast new southern flank is opened up in the terrorist threat and our nation menaced by one more radical anti-American regime intent on acquiring nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles?

This disaster for U.S. national security and for the people of Latin America must and can be averted if our policy makers act quickly and decisively, but they must do so now. Timely political attention and actions by the United States and other democracies should include encouragement for the pro-democratic parties in Brazil to unify behind an honest, capable political leader who can represent the hopes of the majority of Brazilians for genuine democracy and who has the resources to mount an effective national campaign.


Constantine C. Menges, a senior fellow with the Hudson Institute, is a former National Security Council member. >>


6 posted on 10/25/2002 9:17:44 AM PDT by Dqban22
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