So many missing pieces and I am not referring to the chess set.
a.cricket
My capsule analogy of History is that it resembles the body of a comet: The head represents the present which glows brightly and appears large. The tail is lumimous near the head, but becomes incresingly indistinct at lows further and further away from the head. The future is the trajectory of the comet, which cannot be accurately determined by simply by looking at the tail.