http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/704316/posts
Summing up: Its crunch time for the old recipe of US-centric global growth. What worked so brilliantly for the past seven years seems unlikely to do the trick this time. Global risks are mounting and there may be no easy way out for world financial markets.
I agree that the next ten years will suck. Indeed, this may well be what poses the greatest risk to Bush in 2004. The public doesn't hold him responsible for what we've seen so far -- much of that was already in progress by the time he took the Oath of Office. But a dramatically worse economy over the next two years would present a real challenge. He could lean conservative, like Hoover did, and get run out of town. Or he could lean liberal, like FDR did, and use it to win a second term easily. Pretty clearly, he's willing to lean liberal.
So I predict: