This election is unlike any other of our lifetime. Both candidates are incumbents. People have already made up their minds about which presidency they prefer.
No Trump supporter is suddenly going to flip to Biden between now and election day with everyone attacking them and calling them stupid, ignorant fools for supporting Trump.
Biden is running about 7 points behind where he was in 2020, and contrary to opinion most state polling averages were pretty close in 2020 with Biden leading in the critical states for basically the entire race and then winning them by about what he had been polling on average. The exact opposite is true this time, it is Trump who is consistently polling ahead of Biden in the key swing states.
I honestly don’t think anything can save Biden from defeat.
Except 10 million new illegal voters.
FJB might break his own “record” of 81 million votes . . .
The list posted is not uniformly favorable to Biden.
Kennedy is effectively running against Biden in the primaries. He just had to do it as UAF because they wouldn’t let him in the primaries.
Plus, major foreign policy disasters (Afghanistan and soon Ukraine) past and present. I don’t know if the open border is a foreign policy failure. But it’s a huge failure.
Social unrest. Has Lichtman watched the news this week?
Scandal. I guess Hunter and Joe accepting bribes from foreign nations is not a scandal.
Economic prospects short and long term poll out as very crappy.
Joe’s charisma??
Lichtman’s evaluations of the factors must be pretty subjective.
"We have put together, I think, the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics”, Biden said in a clip posted to Instagram Oct. 24, 2020.
Yes, he actually blurted out that exact statement.
Looks like that organization is still in place. The polls mean absolutely nothing.
Fraudulent elections have consequences.