[NautiNurse]

TD 10...Florida in its path...
Forecast to reach Hurricane strength in the Gulf of Mexico...

400 PM CDT Update
-------------------------------
About 65 MI NE of Cozumel Mexico
Max Sustained Winds...30 MPH
Movement...STATIONARY
Minimum Pressure...1006 MB

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[GreenLanternCorps]

And we’re off…

[janetjanet998]

Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2023

The cloud pattern of the low pressure area located near the
northeastern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico has gradually become
better organized today. Radar observations show a circulation has
developed, although surface observations indicate that the western
semicircle of this circulation is rather weak at this time. Given
the increased organization, advisories are being initiated on
Tropical Depression Ten. Surface synoptic observations suggest that
the current intensity is around 25 kt.

The current motion estimate is nearly stationary. There is a
weakness in the subtropical ridge to the north of the tropical
cyclone, leaving the system in a region of very weak steering flow.
The dynamical guidance indicates that the system will remain in
weak steering currents for the next 24 to 36 hours, so very little
motion is predicted during that period. After that time, a
mid-level ridge begins to build to the east of the tropical cyclone.
This should cause a generally northward motion in the next 2 to 3
days. Then, a gradual turn to the north-northeast is expected as
the system moves along the northwestern periphery of the ridge. The
official track forecast is a blend of the simple and corrected
dynamical model consensus guidance.

The tropical cyclone will be moving over very warm waters with only
moderate vertical wind shear anticipated during the next several
days. Therefore, gradual strengthening is forecast. The official
forecast is similar to the latest LGEM guidance and shows the
system becoming a hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Users
are reminded that there is significant uncertainty in 3-4 day
intensity predictions and are urged to monitor changes to future
forecasts.

[NautiNurse]

Meandering and nearing TS status...

1000 AM CDT Update
-------------------------------
About 80 MI ESE of Cozumel Mexico
Max Sustained Winds...35 MPH
Movement...E at 2 MPH
Minimum Pressure...1001 MB

[little jeremiah]

Cats - how are you doing?

[Theoria]

Elena had a similar path back in the day. Good and bad is that there isn't too many folk, but a beautiful area. If it isn't the hurricanes trying to take out whats left of old Florida, the out of staters will.

[Diana in Wisconsin]

What the heck is going on? There’s a HUGE Hurricane heading towards NC and VA!?!?

https://www.windy.com/?32.491,-91.099,5

[ncalburt]

The NHC called the location early .
The capital avoided a direct hit .
Prayers for Perry . A nice small town .
Thanks again NN .