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To: TigerClaws

Benford’s law works for sets of numbers that grow naturally by exponential rates. For example you had 500 dollars and it was in an account earning 25 percent growth every year , your account would have this amount of money each year
500
625
781
977
1221
1526
1907
2384
2980
3725
4657
5821
7276
9095
11369
14211
17764
22204
27756
34694
43368
54210
67763
84703
105879
132349
165436
206795
258494
323117
403897
504871
631089

Notice the numeral “1” appears most of the the time as the leading number, in this case 27 percent , the other numbers as 2-9 show up less as the first digit. This because our number system base 10. If we were to use the most simple number base 2 , with just ones and zeroes, the data would not favor either case , but base 10, favors the first number for when data grows exponentially...

Another example take 120 and if it grows by 25 percent, it takes many iterations before it gets above 200, compare to at 900 with a 25 percent growth , the first iteration the new number is not going to be a 9 anymore , therefore very few 9s and lots of 1s will show up in data that has a compounding growth factor.

Population counts follow Benford’s law, because they grow exponentially , the amount of forestation or any thing that can be measured with a growth rate, using a base 10 number system to record , the numeral 1 will appear more often in the data set.

So what does this have to do with votes ? Votes, are a measure of popularity , like top songs or ideas ,, a few people like , then they tell others, and they tell others , so popularity grows exponentially, and might be that a collected data sets of votes from a region of population ,it seems plausible to follow Benford, but experts say the law might not be reliable always to detect fraud in elections..Benford’s law does not work on all data sets ..

However ... note the 6 key is in the middle of the keyboard , easy to quickly make up and type in.... fits the pattern of accounting fraud according to benfords law, so why are most of the Biden’s counts coming up numerals 4 5 and 6. While a natural distribution we should see more 1s and 2s than 4s 5s or 6s, like Trumps counts show?

Check out this guys analysis of several places where Trump numbers adheres to Benford , Biden does not ..

https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords

Very odd indeed, but don’t expect low information voters will be able to follow the logic


36 posted on 11/07/2020 12:05:26 PM PST by seastay
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To: seastay

(most of) the fraudulent data entry typist(s) is (are) left handed instead of right handed?

apparently touch typing teaches typing students to use the right hand for 6, and the left hand for numbers 1 through 5.

https://thepracticetest.com/typing/lessons/17/

(just a wag)

it might be more significant that there is a variation in contrast to the exact specifics of the variation itself from the norm (dunno).


39 posted on 11/07/2020 12:52:26 PM PST by SteveH
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