Posted on 09/01/2020 2:51:57 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 167
As of 08/31/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Fatalities and New Cases in the United States
Fatalities rose by 139 cases from the previous day, to come in at 510
yesterday. That was the exact same number from the same day the week before.
New Cases rose by 4,218 from the day before, to come in at 38,468 yesterday.
That was a 7.27% decrease from the same day the week before.
Fatalaties and New Cases on the Global Scene
Fatalities rose by 318 cases from the previous day, to come in at 4,193
yesterday. That was a 6.84% decrease from the same day last week.
New Cases rose by 28,176 from the day before, to come in at 251,201 yesterday.
That was an 10.98% increase from the same day the week before.
%
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
The declared New Case level rose by 4,218 cases yesterday, which left the
daily total at 38,468 cases.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active Cases rose by a smaller than normal amount, and Serious/Critical Cases
fell off again after weeks of falling steadily day to day. This took place
nearly every day of August, with few exceptions.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been increasing recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
Our slices of the Global Pie remained a mixed bag yesterday. It had been
improving for both categories for several days a few days back.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point withone.
Note that this presents the single, seven, and fourteen day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Back in early June, I was hoping we were finally seeing the light. Welllll...
not exactly. Look where we've gone from there. Now the red seven-day averaging
line is beginning to resemble the same flattening from that June period. I hope
that matures with the U. S. making a good go at defeating this disease.
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that. The size
of it just doesn't seem reasoned to me.
Why/how could the posive portion of the popoulace vary ass much as 2.0% from day
to day? I could a lot easier see a 2.0% trend over three or four days. One day?
Nah.
Testing rose by a little over 66,000 tests yesterday to come in at 794,417,
up from 728,027 the day before.
The fourteen day positive results fell off to 5.531%. The 3 day average
dropped to 4.949%. The sigle day rose a bit to 4.842%
These figures are much improved from previous weeks, for the most part.
The fourteen day figure now remains at it's best showing since 06/25 for the
second day in a row.
All three lines have come close together on the right there. We continue
to do better, although the 14 day seemed to move to a line not headed down
at quite the same angle (rate).
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
New Case declarations seem to be tapering off at a slightly increasing rate.
Active Cases look to be flattening. Liking that...
What I'm noticing that I'm not so glad to see, is a slight drop off in
trajectory of the Recoveries and Resolved Cases. It's not much, but it's
still there. We want to see those ever rising.
Compare the rise of Recoveried and Resolved cases on the Global Scene to see
a different more healthy trajectory.
United States Movers and Shakers...
I will present the U S States with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities rankings.
Here we go...
California had the most new Cases and most Fatalities yesterday. The New
Cases seemed to be a normal level, but the Fatality win was pulled off at
less than half the rate of other nations at the top spot over recent days past.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland thereChina
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
New Cases rose by 28,183 cases to come in at 251,191 yesterday. That was a new
record for the day. It beat out the 232,885 figure on 08/07.
After several weeks where there were no new records for the days of the week,
we are back to setting new records two days in a row, three days out of five.
Sunday and Monday came in at new record level for the day. And it remains to be
seen if this trend will continue in days to come this week.
This could wind up being a bad week for the numbers of New Cases. We'll see.
Resolved cases continued to rise reaching 73.103%.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Active Cases rose higher yesterday, but with an amount that was less than the
normal amount. That is good.
The Serious/Critical cases on the right, rose higher.
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
The number here rose up by about 24,000 cases. This is another area that
could be raging by the end of the week. Stay tuned.
That's a pretty textbook rise and fall over the last nine days on the Global
Scene. Look how symetrical it looks. Notice yesterday's chart showing compared
to the same day the week before. That's a pretty strong increase. Our numbers came in at 38,468. That blue column on the right is still looking quite good.
We've seen some areas looking average, and then not so good. Our area has
looked quite good. With higher days coming, we may see this head back up
a little.
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the U. S. version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
The two charts above have shown movement toward flattening, but there has
been some upside mixed in. We are seeing more frequent days where the Active
Cases decline.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
Spain - OUCH!
France - Ooo
To be honest, it looks like all these nations are showing an inclination to
move up.
Span has been looking very bad, but even as bad is it is now, it was worse a
few days ago.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
In recent days Sweden has edged up a little. It's not terrible, but it
isn't optimal either. Note that Sweeden took around a 3,100 clearical
correction on it's case numbers on 08/27th.
The Nethherlands New Cases have taken a decided turn for the worse, but the
rate has become pretty steady and doesn't seem to be getting worse. If
anything, there may be a very small improvement a week or so ago.
Global Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
India took the top spot in both areas comfortably, far surpassing other nations
in the mix.
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
This chart reveals a flattening of Active Case growth. There have been some
drops in the numbers of Active Cases recently.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.003% of today's total global numbers.
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
Well globally we're at 73.191% Resolved Cases now. I'm glad to see that, and
wonder how much higher that will go in the short term. It has kept trecking
upward for months on end.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Active Cases rose but the rise was back to a baby steps situaiton. Active
Cases grow by a much larger number generally.
The Serious/Critical Case level rose up a little.
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
After a few days of decline, Fatalities increased yesterday from the day before.
Since the beginning of COVID-19's activity in the U. S., higher New Cases were
soon followed by elevated Fatalities. If we have gone to school on the data
of this disease, we know who should avoid exposure the most. So if the
demographic that has little to fear from the disease is out there getting
infected, it may not be a bad thing at all. If the Fatalities remain low,
vastly higher cases may simply increase the rapidity of the saturation of the
people in public who have already fought it off. And that may facilitate the
end of the disease. I'm sure others know this, but I did want to explain why
my thinking has fluctuated over time regarding these dynamics.
Here, let's look at data for the U. S. broken out by itself.
That 510 Fatalities was the first rise in six days. It came on the back of
some pretty impressive lows. The 371 figure from the day before was the
lowest since 07/05.
Our Fatalities yesterday came in at exactly the same figure from the week
before. I don't recall that happening for before, but I've only been
working that part of this report up for the last month to six weeks.
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
We had looked pretty good recently, but his was not a good day. It's not as
bad as some of the previous days a few weeks back, but it's just not strong
in either category there.
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
Yes I did add in a new column here. Now showing are percentage figures that
reveal the percentage of the 215 nations that have the figure to the right OR
MORE.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
The last two days have been record days. We've returned to that pattern the
last three out of five days, and the big momentum doesn't bode well for
the remainder of the week.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
For months Puerto Rico was showing up with the Counties. That stopped in early July
if memory serves me well.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Around 06/23, China started putting out it's testing numbers. I thought
they were suspect. The number they put out was 90,410,000. Ours and most
everyone else's numbers are specific. For instance on 06/28, our number of
of tests at the ned of the day was 32,592,368. That specificity separates it
from the number China put out. It was rounded to the 10 thousandth place. In
addition, China has not updated that number once. So I do not inlude China in
the Nation's Comparison Sort regarding Testing, and any place that reports out
global testing numbers for a top level comparison.
We fell from 17th to 18th place here on Sunday. We remained there yesterday.
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations219,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
Reams and reams of bad data. You can’t manipulate it enough to make it into good data. It’s full of false positives, false death attributions, and false hospitalizations. Why do the mods continue to allow these numerical lies to be posted at FR? I thought we stood for truth here?
Okay, lets review.
You can’t manipulate it enough to make it into good data.
Okay, you took that first sentence and built off it. Again
let's review.
It’s full of false positives,
There have been some false positives. Are they all
non-positives? Are most of them non-positives? Well
no.
false death attributions,
It's sad that folks who realize that our media has mislead
them on so many things, all off a sudden find that
same media to be totally trustworthy when it comes to
COVID-19 reporting.
THE CDC has revealed itself to be a very troubled org
all year, but now when it states something like only
9,000 people actually died of COVID-19, you (seemingly)
and others buy off on it no questions asked.
Co morbidity does not mean that the co-morbidity issue
is always the cause of death, but the CDC has mislead
a lot of folks to think so. People already suspected it
and were primed to buy off on it, but is it true? No.
Think of it like this. Ten people with terminal illnesses
go into a bank. That bank is robbed. During a hostage
situation those ten people are shot dead. Does that mean
they all died of the co-mmorbidity issue? Are they all
tagged as people who died of cancer, heart disease, or
COPD?
The answer is obviously no. They died of a gunshot to
the head.
COVID-19 patients with co-morbidities that are certain
to have taken them in weeks or months anyway, are still
people who died of COVID-19.
If you have cancer, does that preclude you from dying of
anything else prior to the cancer taking you? If you
have a heart attack, are you then deemed to have died of
cancer automatically?
I know some of you are down on the severity of COVID-19
and rightfully so, but we need to keep our heads about
us as we review these issues. Stop trusting our damn
media. You know better.
and false hospitalizations.
People who are hospitalized with COVID-19, are generally
hospitalized due to the serious nature of their illness.
They are admitted to ICUs and monitored. While there
may be some false hospitalizations, is it anywhere near
a significant amount of them? No.
People don't get hospitalized on a whim.
Why do the mods continue to allow these numerical lies to be posted at FR?
I'm recommending they leave your post up. That's how
open minded I am.
I thought we stood for truth here?
Well, some of us do. Others blow out media reports to
believe the darnedest things.
Some weeks back, it was reported that testing centers
across Florida were only reporting out the positives.
Why that sounded terrible on the surface. Then I
decided to look into one little stat that would test
if that was true or not.
I looked at the positive testing percent for the state.
You see, if a large number of facilities are reporting
out 100% positives, what would happen to the state's
positive testing percentage? Of course it would skew
upward dramatically.
Did Florida's testing percentage skew upward dramatically?
No. Somewhere along the line the negatives were entering
the system. The media had presented a flashy headline
but it was a false one.
A lot of people suckered for that one.
The goal of the media in our age, is to cause as much
chaos and uncertainty as they can. They are trying to
cause widespread mental discomfort to the public.
It's working. We need to be aware of it and be a lot
better at evaluating what they are presenting.
Their sensational headlines sometimes do address a
subject that needs to be touched on, but the dire
conclusions are often skewed way beyond reality.
These numbers here are not perfect. I never claimed them
to be. They are all we have to track this thing. It
is our job to review them, keep them in mind and the
the news reports in mind, and make as good an analysis
as we can.
You can't do that, totally eliminating one set of
information and letting the media tell you any damn
thing they please unchallenged.
Thank you.
You’re welcome...
Whatever. I don’t believe any of it. When this is all over, it won’t matter anyway.
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