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Years of life lost due to the psychosocial consequences of COVID19 mitigation strategies based on Swiss data
medrxiv.org ^ | May 2, 2020

Posted on 05/09/2020 7:14:59 AM PDT by grundle

Abstract

Background: The pandemic caused by COVID-19 has forced governments to implement strict social mitigation strategies to reduce the morbidity and mortality from acute infections. These strategies however carry a significant risk for mental health which can lead to increased short-term and long-term mortality and is currently not included in modelling the impact of the pandemic. Methods: We used years of life lost (YLL) as the main outcome measure as applied to Switzerland as an exemplar. We focused on suicide, depression, alcohol use disorder, childhood trauma due to domestic violence, changes in marital status and social isolation as these are known to increase YLL in the context of imposed restriction in social contact and freedom of movement. We stipulated a minimum duration of mitigation of 3 months based on current public health plans. Results: The study projects that the average person would suffer 0.205 YLL due to psychosocial consequence of COVID-19 mitigation measures. However, this loss would be entirely borne by 2.1% of the population, who will suffer an average 9.79 YLL. Conclusions: The results presented here are likely to underestimate the true impact of the mitigation strategies on YLL. However, they highlight the need for public health models to expand their scope in order to provide better estimates of the risks and benefits of mitigation.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 05/09/2020 7:14:59 AM PDT by grundle
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To: grundle
likely to underestimate the true impact of the mitigation strategies

Wonder what are the effects of re-breathing carbon dioxide by a pregnant woman wearing a mask.

2 posted on 05/09/2020 7:17:07 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: grundle

> > > risks and benefits

It reminds me of a study I read about a while back that determined that people who spend hours a day working out actually live longer than those who don’t. Unfortunately, the extra time they gain is less than the total amount of time they spend working out.


3 posted on 05/09/2020 7:19:23 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (BLACK LIVES MAGA)
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To: grundle
...in the context of imposed restriction in social contact and freedom of movement.

No mention of the lost of years of life due to the resultant unemployment and underemployment (and concomittant reduction in earning power) attributable to the lockdown measures.

Regards,

4 posted on 05/09/2020 7:41:19 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: Jeff Chandler
It reminds me of a study I read about a while back that determined that people who spend hours a day working out actually live longer than those who don’t. Unfortunately, the extra time they gain is less than the total amount of time they spend working out.

Your remark implies that lying in a pine box six feet underground is to be preferred to jogging through the woods or even working out at a fitness studio.

Regards,

5 posted on 05/09/2020 7:44:14 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: alexander_busek
Your remark implies that lying in a pine box six feet underground is to be preferred to jogging through the woods or even working out at a fitness studio.

Also, the quality of life, while alive, that incorporates exercise is better than the quality of life without exercise.

I visited to Colosseum in Rome last summer, and it was sad how many tourists couldn't walk up those magnificent tall steps--each step was at least two feet tall!. The Romans had strong legs, the tour guide explained.

6 posted on 05/09/2020 8:17:58 AM PDT by olivia3boys
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To: grundle
The pandemic caused by COVID-19 has forced governments to implement...

False. The only ones being "forced" to do anything are the People, NOT the government.

7 posted on 05/09/2020 8:19:53 AM PDT by real saxophonist (If you don't have a gun, sell some toilet paper, and go buy a gun. - Colion Noir)
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To: grundle

“... alcohol use disorder...”

The state liquor stores here in Virginia have reported sales to be approaching “holiday season” sales.


8 posted on 05/09/2020 8:48:33 AM PDT by VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals.")
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To: grundle

Each individual has the opportunity to make positive choices for himself regardless of the circumstances. Nobody is being forced to drink, drug, eat, or shoot themselves to death.


9 posted on 05/09/2020 8:54:30 AM PDT by Tax-chick (You can't buy happiness, but you can buy books! (Washington County, UT, Library))
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To: grundle

Good that they’re looking into it. Nobody but nobody seems to give a darn about the breakdown of our social and affective networks by this stupid “isolation” and how that impacts people. (Along with the fear - not of dying, but of dying alone.)


10 posted on 05/09/2020 9:48:54 AM PDT by livius
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To: grundle

“Quality Of Life” is a term the FDA (and EU!) is anal about.

Use it. It’s a technical term, believe me. The FDA instantly grogs it. Turn it against Fauci.


11 posted on 05/09/2020 6:08:27 PM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Unredact the 99 Collyer Report!!!)
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