They were, of course, only testing those that were fairly ill.
10% of the positives were hospitalized with 10% of those dying.
In Virginia, the current numbers are:
Persons Tested: 17,589
Confirmed Cases: 1706 (9.69% of persons tested had the disease)
Hospitalized: 246 (14.4% of confirmed cases were hospitalized)
Deaths: 41 (2.4% of confirmed cases died)
As is apparent in the NYS and NYC numbers in my previous post, something is really off with respect to their case numbers. Now, once you get into rates of hospitalization and death, the numbers are somewhat in-line with other states. To me, that means the actual disease is no more virulent in NYS and NYC than it is any place else.
And, to be frank, NYS, outside of NYC and its surrounding counties, is not that bad either. So NYC is going to have to looked at pretty hard. With 80% of the cases either asymptomatic or only mildly symptomatic, the analysis will have to be carefully designed and executed to really understand what specific factors contributed to this explosion of cases - 42% of all the nation’s cases are there.
In the end, it may come down to characteristics unique to this particular strain of the corona virus. Personally, I think it will be that an infected person can be contagious for days before becoming sick and that the virus survives for long periods, relatively speaking, in the air and on surfaces. That’s pretty hard to defend against when you don’t know it’s coming...or you are being lied to.
There is no pint in discussing changes to how NYC is organized and operates. It is going to be impervious to attempts to change it. Okay, very highly resistant with whiney Bill and AOC in front defending the status quo.
It will also be interesting to read the final results of Sweden’s “We’re not going to do anything different from the flu” approach. That will provide a lot of new data for the disease modelers to study and factor into the algorithms.