[Steve Schulin]

You say it's ridiculous to say that millions could be killed here. Have you done ANY calculations using ANY assumptions for the appropriate variables? Mike Adams has made a spreadsheet-based tool available that allows you to modify your assumptions and see how those changes affect the number of cases and deaths here. In an article announcing version 2 of the tool, he notes that "One piece of good news in this projection is that if you enter an R0 value of 2.4, and use a social distancing suppression value of 25%, there are only 1.1 million deaths in the USA by July 4th." I'm not so bothered that you don't agree with my claim that President Trump's travel restrictions have likely prevented millions of deaths here just looking ahead to May. After that first press conference, I was disappointed that the President didn't criticize our public health officials for the still stunningly poor testing. The Mike Adams quote above and this link to his spreadsheet-based model http://www.pandemic.news/PPM-Adams-Rev-2.zip is from a March 10 article at Infowars.

[the OlLine Rebel]

It IS ridiculous, because it really is looking like the average flu, maybe more like bird flu, in danger level.

Millions makes it like the Black Plague, and I am confident it is not. The Black Plague killed 30% of the POPULATION, whereas this and other rather common highly contagious diseases of varying types kill maybe let’s say 4% of VICTIMS. I’m being generous.

Don’t twist this into an anti-Trump thing; it’s about whether it’s really that serious or not. We’ve shut down so much stuff that makes more people really go into panic mode and shortages galore, and then civil unrest possible. Sorry, I’m not seeing the death rate to justify this into a good ROI. You’re talking far beyond deaths from flus which are bad enough, and makes no sense.

I’m more afraid of people with real emergencies being swept aside for an inconvenient disease.

[the OlLine Rebel]

Who is this Mike Adams and why should I care? Oh, looks like he’s a conspiracy nut featured on Alex Jones (hey, wasn’t he arrested this week?), and one of those people with no education claiming to know all about nutrition and that it cures all and he won’t see a real doctor. Perhaps he’d like to go to China for TCM and see how that works out.