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SANDERS LOOKING GOLDEN IN THE ONCE-GOLDEN STATE
Powerline ^ | FEBRUARY 28, 2020 | STEVEN HAYWARD

Posted on 02/28/2020 1:34:22 PM PST by Hojczyk

The Berkeley-IGS poll, overseen by my former office suite-mate pollster Mark DiCamillo, is out with new numbers today showing Bernie Sanders running away with the California primary next week, where 415 delegates are at stake:

Sanders is now the choice of 34% of likely voters in the primary, twice the support of Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, his nearest rival who is preferred by 17%. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg receives 12% and former South Bend Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 11%. Further back are former Vice President Joe Biden at 8% and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar at 6%. Another 5% of voters are supporting other candidates and 7% remain undecided.

The fractured nature of vote support for Sanders’ rivals has big implications with regard to how the state’s 415 pledged delegates to the Democratic National Convention are allocated to the candidates. This is because under California’s delegate allocation rules a candidate must receive at least a 15% share of the vote statewide or within the state’s 53 congressional districts to be awarded delegates.

The most interesting wrinkle here is that Sanders is narrowly leading Warren right now in polls in Massachusetts, which also votes on Tuesday. It is thought that a Sanders win in Massachusetts would finish off Warren, since losing her own home state would be a large embarrassment. However, if these California poll results hold up, Warren will be the only other candidate to get any delegates out of California, which will give her a reason to stay in.

But the additional wrinkle is that because California’s results won’t come in until nearly midnight on the east coast, a Sanders win in Massachusetts will have both the TV and early-deadline print media hyping the fact that Warren has been dealt a fatal blow. Fun times!

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloggers; powerlineblog
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To: elcid1970

I am advocating that “Operation Chaos” have our folks start singing “The Internationale” at all Bernie events.

The crowd _will_ join in, and it will freak out Bernie!

(It could stroke him out, so maybe we wait until _after_ the convention... ;-) )


21 posted on 02/28/2020 2:16:24 PM PST by cgbg (The Democratic Party is morphing into the Donner Party)
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To: elcid1970

I had to go listen to The Internationale after I read your post...what an inane song. An “anthem of the left” indeed.

I listened to it in English, and couldn’t even get past a few bars. I thought maybe listening to it in Russian would improve it, but...nope. Still sounded like a stupid song.

OTOH, I have to admit, I always kind of liked the sound of the Soviet National Anthem-for some odd reason, it seemed to fit the Soviets. I was against them root and branch, but that song sounded like them!


22 posted on 02/28/2020 2:17:09 PM PST by rlmorel (Finding middle ground with tyranny or evil makes you either a tyrant or evil. Often both.)
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To: Hojczyk

By my math, that means Sanders would get 277 delegates and Warren would get 138. All the Mensheviks, put together, would get 0.


23 posted on 02/28/2020 2:34:40 PM PST by libstripper
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To: Hojczyk

I hope my entire stupid state (CA) votes for St. Bernard.


24 posted on 02/28/2020 2:35:27 PM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them)
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To: Hojczyk

How people could vote for an avowed communist is beyond me. Many people must be so uninformed about history and reality that they are purely impacted by emotion...GIBMEDATs. Pathetic.


25 posted on 02/28/2020 2:36:07 PM PST by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp???)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

This time will be different. You and I already know what the election results will be.


26 posted on 02/28/2020 2:36:40 PM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
In recent years, California has taken about three weeks after an election to produce final results. Some believe this is due to chicanery. In any event, if it’s a close election in California, we may not know for a while who really won, similar to how we may never know what really happened in Iowa.

We knew a couple of days after Iowa that Bernie and Petey were in a near dead heat, within one or two tenths of a percent. The delegates were assigned, some with coin tosses.

Yesterday, I heard that a final recount of the popular vote total showed that Petey was the winner by a hair. It doesn't matter, but FOX got one of his campaign people on to state that the delay in counting broke Petey's momentum as the leader. Puh-leeze!

27 posted on 02/28/2020 3:04:07 PM PST by Pearls Before Swine
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

You and I already know what the election results will be. ........................... the states if “NYC” and CA will be a Bernie win?


28 posted on 02/28/2020 3:05:24 PM PST by Bringbackthedraft ( #ReasonableDemocratsforTrump. Where are you?)
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To: Hojczyk
The fractured nature of vote support for Sanders’ rivals has big implications with regard to how the state’s 415 pledged delegates to the Democratic National Convention are allocated to the candidates.

Wait, didn't I hear recently that some DNC mucky-muck said that our votes don't matter in the primary and that THEY will decide who is the Presidential nominee from the DemoCommie party?

And here I wasted my vote on Tiny Tommy Pigstyer.

29 posted on 02/28/2020 3:11:21 PM PST by Ratman0823 ("Worry less about who you might offend and care more about who you might inspire" - Mike Baxter)
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To: Bringbackthedraft

I think one has to make that assumption and consider it a done deal.


30 posted on 02/28/2020 3:23:32 PM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them)
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To: elcid1970
My Grandfather sang that song as a kid. My Great Grandfather was a Socialist. (Strongly Anticommunist though.) He loved Debs.
31 posted on 02/28/2020 3:27:10 PM PST by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: rlmorel
I had to go listen to The Internationale after I read your post...what an inane song. An “anthem of the left” indeed.

I listened to it in English, and couldn’t even get past a few bars. I thought maybe listening to it in Russian would improve it, but...nope

Hello...Decembrists...pick up the red phone....

Obambi's best band.

32 posted on 02/28/2020 3:36:28 PM PST by spokeshave (Trump:....Bernie Sanders is a communist. ...thats gonna leave a Marx.)
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To: Hojczyk

I’d be shocked if Bernie wasn’t leading in Ca. Bernie is the perfect candidate for the majority of Californians. I give thanks every day for the wisdom of the founders and their inspired creation of the Electoral College.


33 posted on 02/28/2020 3:38:23 PM PST by PerConPat ( A politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground..Mencken)
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To: spokeshave

Reds did know how to do songs. Bernie should just come out and sing this, it would be the same thing.


34 posted on 02/28/2020 3:50:59 PM PST by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: gibsonguy

“It’s a bit surprising Poofter Pete is that far behind Mike.”

Yes, given that it’s California I was expecting Butt-edge-edge to be in second place.


35 posted on 02/28/2020 5:07:31 PM PST by SharpRightTurn (Chuck Schumer--giving pond scum everywhere a bad name.)
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To: SharpRightTurn

Booty-gig’s Naval Reserve duty is likely a huge negative for him among California Dems.


36 posted on 02/28/2020 5:12:03 PM PST by nascarnation
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To: Hojczyk

If Warren slips below 15%, Sanders will walk away with all 415 delegates. If that happens, he will be unstoppable.


37 posted on 02/28/2020 5:26:20 PM PST by Lying Dog Faced Pony Soldier (If Joe Biden calls me a liar, I must be telling the truth!)
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To: windsorknot

You know, people peeing and pooping on the sidewalk used to be all fun and games, before Coronavirus.

Now it is looking downright irresponsible.


38 posted on 02/28/2020 5:31:57 PM PST by Lying Dog Faced Pony Soldier (If Joe Biden calls me a liar, I must be telling the truth!)
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Come on Bernie! Finish the damn job already!
39 posted on 02/28/2020 7:20:38 PM PST by KavMan
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How disasterous will Sanders poll against TRUMP after The GOP + TRUMP totally destroy Sanders on his SOCIALISM???



40 posted on 02/28/2020 7:24:44 PM PST by KavMan
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