Oh, So That's How Many Electoral Votes Trump Will Clinch in 2020

Townhall.com ^ | October 19, 2019 | Matt Vespa

[Spacetrucker]

Pay attention to the data analytics the Trump campaign uses - they know what they’re doing.

[Kaslin]

Pfft

[Kaslin]

I repeat myself. Pffffffffffffft

[Kaslin]

And I am an optimist.

[LastDayz]

But.... but.... but.... I thought there were 57.

[IrishBrigade]

‘Think of those really big states (California, New York, etc.) who have passed laws that require all their electoral votes to go to the candidate that wins the popular vote.’

I’m sure you’re aware that the national popular vote mandate is not effected until states totaling 270 EV’s pass it; as that has not happened, no states are currently mandated to vote for the national winner...

[SamAdams76]

Think of those really big states (California, New York, etc.) who have passed laws that require all their electoral votes to go to the candidate that wins the popular vote.

This is absolutely 100% NOT TRUE.

The electoral votes of NY and CA will still be awarded by the state vote - not the national vote.

[LS]

I repeat myself: for those who haven’t been paying attention, @SHEPMJS has tracked black approval of Trump for almost THREE YEARS and it equates to exactly these numbers. He has followed on four major polls, and always gets 16%-26% approval.

Now, while “approval” doesn’t = votes, it does, when combined with “stay at home,” = these kinds of numbers.

So, pffft.

[LS]

My prediction-—pay attention-—is 320-340 ELECTORAL VOTES.

And no, Trump won’t win all 50 states if he walks on water.

[Kaslin]

Well you pessimist we shall see. Perhaps you want him defeated. I am an optimist and optimists always win! P

[thecodont]

Thanks, will note.

[GOPJ]

The FBI needs to secure the vote in the black community because that's the most likely place for Russians and Chinese to swing the vote with fraud.

Why there??

Russians and Chinese understand the racial situation in the US and they know law enforcement is afraid to look too closely at odd results in minority communities for fear of being call ‘racists’...

That's where the cheating will happen.

The FBI will secure the sanctity of the vote by stopping fraud from the places it's most likely to happen.

[T. Rustin Noone]

I agree

Then add in the 93 EV’s from CA, NY and CO and DJT is above 400..)

[CatOwner]

There are close to 170 EVs Trump won’t win against just about any DEM candidate, so 370 EVs tops.

[Interesting Times]

Assuming Trump doesn't lose States he won, his likely pick ups and margin by which he lost - and electoral votes are

New Hampshire, 0.37% – 4
Minnesota, 1.52% – 10
Nevada, 2.42% – 6
Maine, 2.96% – 2
Colorado, 4.91% – 9

325 at best.

That's a bit off.

Trump got 304 votes last time. Adding the 31 from your list would bring him to 335. He also lost Virginia by 5.36%, not much more than Colorado. That would push his total to 348; a very solid margin.

[Interesting Times]

Adding the two EVs taken from Trump by faithless electors would bump his total to a round 350. That’s my prediction.

[Kaslin]

While you are a pessimist, I am a optimist and say he will get 685,707 popular votes.

[Kaslin]

As popular as President Trump is, You expect him to only get 350 votes?

They had better go out and vote or else.

[Kaslin]

You are forgetting the popular votes.

In 1984 President Reagan won 7 electoral votes and 685,700 popular votes. Walter Mondale won 0 popular votes and 536,479 popular votes.

Source

[DoodleBob]

And I am an optimist.

As am I generally, but on electoral vote forecasts, optimism shouldn't be blinded by reality and logistics.

All that matters is 270. Trump has LOTS of wind at his back, and he has built an awesome coalition of people of all shapes, sizes, colors, and proclivities that is the envy of the DNC. In this regard I am feeling positive that he will win.

But Trump also has lots of enemies and fraud aligned against him...more than Reagan, more than Nixon. While I am heartened to hear Trump hiring campaign people in Blue States, my suspicion is he is using this a psyops to draw them from PA, MI, WI, FL, and other close calls.

So yes, hammer down and I hope we get 350. But acting like it's in the bag and then some sounds reminiscent of this pol...