Posted on 11/26/2018 3:25:31 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Better a troll than a dumbass.
As I am one, I was questioning the poster. Looking past the small things leads to order of magnitude mistakes.
+1
I’m always amazed at folks that just WILL NOT admit when they are wrong.
I know. It wasn’t that big a deal, really, at least to me.
Here's what a correctly maintained temperature station looks like (notice temps declining, on chart at right):
And, here is a poorly-maintained temperatures-gathering station, notice it is situated next to multiple heat sources - voila!, 'Global Warming' (this faulty-data gathering problem is *COMMON* for a MAJORITY of the weather stations used across the US!):
From: http://www.surfacestations.org/
PIF,
Where are these quotes from?
I find it suspicious that the Earth’s average distance to the Sun can change by as much as 2 million miles and that this can last for 350-400 years...
The Quotes where form a wiki on sun’s wattage - the rest wqas from Zarakova as I said earlier.
Both the Sun and the Earth wobble ... this is apparently a 2000 year event as far as distance goes. The Sun’s wattage drop at earth’s surface and 4 solar magnetic loops out of phase is new.
I just got off work and a, a bit dazed by the 20 degree temps plus wind chill I’ve been working in all day - so this might not be explained too clearly - best you listen to the link I posted and reach your own conclusions.
There is something very wrong with this Zarkova presentation. I did some research on this wobble and sure enough the distance between the Sun and Earth hardly changes over long periods of time.
For sure it changes during the year quite dramatically because the Earth’s orbit is slightly elliptical, but the closest approach (which happens every year in the first week of January) is extremely stable. From now to 2200 the closest approach between the Earth and the Sun does not vary by more than 8500mi. That is an error of less than 0.009%!
The Sun does wobble ... quite a lot, by millions of miles, but the Earth goes along with it. The Sun moves 2M miles closer to the center of the galaxy, so does the Earth, then they move back. They wobble somewhat in sync.
Intuitively it makes sense. For the Sun to all of a sudden get 2 million miles closer to Earth and stay there for 200 years it would require a gigantic disturbance in the Solar System, akin to a black hole appearing nearby :-)
This lack of understanding of basic orbital mechanics puts in doubt the whole rest of the presentation.
The sunspot magnetic model is what interests me. Tracking sunspots alone is a good predictor of weather for about 2 years out. The magnetic model seems to extend it much further, with major trends being identified.
Somehow I doubt that Zarkova “lack(s) of understanding of basic orbital mechanics”. I think you believe you are correct as well. But you may be missing some vital point she used to find what she did. For that you would have to have access to her math and the data she used in her reasoning.
Watts cause heating which is temperature much the same as a 100 watt light bulb heats a room ... the closer you are to the bulb the hotted it feels, because you are receiving more watts so the temperature rises.
Saying “A watt is not a unit of temperature” is just an argumentive misdirection on the subject at hand.
Oh, give it up. You were wrong. The more you try to pretend you weren’t, the sillier it makes you look.
Grow up.
Saying A watt is not a unit of temperature is just an argumentive misdirection on the subject at hand.Say it it 100% accurate.
Stop embarrassing yourself.
I don't know how credible this Piers Corbyn is but he is not the only one worried about global cooling.
What I have read is that the top of the atmosphere will receive 8 watts/sq meter less energy during the Solar minimum. Right now it receives about 240 w/sq m so 8 less is huge reduction.
The earth is not going to move away from the sun by an additional 2 million miles. There is an annual variation of 3 million miles but that is not new. Someone is implying that the average will increase by 2 million miles. Someone is confused.
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