Posted on 04/16/2018 5:38:11 PM PDT by Az Joe
If the GOP is using the same messaging in AZ they used in PA 18 I fully expect the D to win.
The GOP has no idea who the electorate is.
They probably just cut a section of the intestine out and put him on a bag.
He is probably having less impact from the Chemo now but I have seen a few with brain cancer — he will be busy just being in the world.
Vote, people. Every chance you get.
I saw a tally where about 65,000 Republicans have already voted in the AZ 8th CD’s special election, and about 35,000 Democrats have voted, plus about 35,000 Independents have voted.
I live in Peoria, AZ, and driving through major intersections, there are usually 4-8 Lesko signs, in the 30” wide by 48” tall category, on just about every corner.
A campaign worker knocked on the door, campaigning for Lesko. We chatted and I found out that he was from Connecticut, and others working on Lesko’s behalf had come from Utah to hand out campaign literature.
The visit reminded me to go vote early, as I had moved and did not get an early ballot in the mail, and... I will be out of state on election day, so the coincidental meeting was quite fortuitous.
I cast a vote for Lesko, knowing little about her, simply because I do not want President Trump to have to govern with a Democrat majority in the House.
Larry? Thoughts?
Yeah. If Trump were on the ticket, I’d be hopeful, but we have these weak candidates and we are losing. I think we will barely win Arizona (I hope), but you are blinded by reality that the Dems are motivated as hell. Republicans are sitting by happy with Trump, but doesn’t realize that he still needs Congress to get some things done.
AZ Data GUY on twitter says Rs are +2 ahead of Ds in turnout in early/absentee voting%-—not in actual ballots. In R vs. D ballots, Rs are up 20 points and increasing.
His take is that Lesko is seriously outperforming her D opponent and that it would take virtually ALL Is to vote for the D for Lesko to lose with these numbers.
Once again, people are looking at polls vs votes.
Rs are burying the Ds, up 20 and gaining with every new group of early/absentee votes cast. Right now, Rs ahead of previous turnout models by 2, Ds down from previous by 1.
This in a district that is overwhelmingly R. See Garrett Archer’s home page on twitter
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer
I hear it’s looking good for us, unless the rats are implausibly getting 100% of the Independent vote.
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