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Election analysts move Ryan seat toward Dems after his retirement
The Hill ^ | 04/11/18 | Ben Kamisar

Posted on 04/11/2018 8:03:00 AM PDT by McGruff

Election handicappers are shifting Speaker Paul Ryan's (R-Wis.) House district toward Democrats after his retirement announcement Wednesday morning.

The Cook Political Report moved Wisconsin's 1st District from a "solid Republican" seat to a "lean Republican" seat based on the news, while Sabato's Crystal Ball out of the University of Virginia shifted the race from "likely Republican" to a toss-up.

No serious Republican candidate had been running against Ryan for the nomination. But now with his impending retirement, Republicans have until the June 1 filing deadline to find another candidate to best Paul Nehlen, a white nationalist who lost handily to Ryan in the 2016 GOP primary.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: paulnehlen; paulryan
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Well if the Huffington post is against him I consider that a good candidate.

21 posted on 04/11/2018 8:17:32 AM PDT by McGruff (We are watching a coup attempt. In our own country.)
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To: McGruff

It is a certain Democrat pick up.


22 posted on 04/11/2018 8:18:08 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: Angels27

It is a certain Democrat pick up.


They don’t call it the Surrender Party for nothing.


23 posted on 04/11/2018 8:20:40 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Nehlen’s a loser. He cannot win because people do not like him.


24 posted on 04/11/2018 8:20:48 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: McGruff

“The first district is a swing district that leans Republican.”

Paul Nehlen is NOT the guy for the job, but historically, because little of District 1 is in Milwaukee County, it leans Republican, however 0bama won the district by 2 points in 2008.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisconsin%27s_1st_congressional_district

However, I say, ‘Bring Back The Free Soil Party!’


25 posted on 04/11/2018 8:20:55 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: redgolum

Ryan has received $54 million in donations for the 2018 cycle. He will try to choose the GOP candidate for this district.


26 posted on 04/11/2018 8:22:09 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: McGruff

In 2016 Paul Nehlen was endorsed by Sarah Palin and Laura Ingraham!


27 posted on 04/11/2018 8:22:14 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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To: Lurkinanloomin
Paul Nehlen, a white nationalist....

Must be the motorcycle. (sarcasm) The bias will never end, because the traitorous Republican Party wants true conservatives defeated.

28 posted on 04/11/2018 8:22:21 AM PDT by grania (President Trump, stop believing the Masters of War!)
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To: McGruff

Ryan is a jackass and a lying tool

This m*********** set us up and didn’t bother to look for a replacement


29 posted on 04/11/2018 8:22:56 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: McGruff

Headline is deliberately misleading. Going from safe to leans GOP means it has moved to the Dems? Not true. Even if called a toss-up by the Dem stooge Larry Sabato in Virginia, that does not mean it has moved to the Dems.

Given there was disagreement among pollsters of how much the odds had changed for the seat, even a headline that says the seat moves to a toss-up would have been blatantly biased.


30 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:22 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: TexasGunLover
There's a great candidate challenging Ryan in the primary, Nick Polce. He's #MAGA, for term limits, ex special forces, unbelievable candidate. In fact he might be one reason Ryan bowed out, real competition.

Nick Polce for Congress

31 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:25 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: bigbob

He’s not a loser!

He was endorsed by Sarah Palin.


32 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:33 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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To: McGruff

As always impeccable timing


33 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:33 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: savedbygrace

Cook and Sabato are dnc propagandists.

I don’t believe one word they say.


34 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:37 AM PDT by Conserv (H)
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To: McGruff

Paul Nehlen is not a white nationalist.


35 posted on 04/11/2018 8:23:45 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Angels27

How did I know you were going to say that?


36 posted on 04/11/2018 8:25:57 AM PDT by Conserv
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To: McGruff

Which is why he’s retiring.


37 posted on 04/11/2018 8:26:28 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: bigbob

Always believe the propaganda.........


38 posted on 04/11/2018 8:26:45 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here of Citizen Parents__Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: lodi90

Sorry but that is correct. I’m from the district. Unless Republicans put up a STELLAR candidate and pour tons of money into this race, it will be a Dem pick up. Red area but purple state that leans Dem overall. They have wanted this seat for a long Time and this is their shot. They will put their heart, blood and soul into winning it.


39 posted on 04/11/2018 8:27:30 AM PDT by usmom
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To: Blue House Sue

Paul, we hardly knew ye.....but it was enough time to loathe the liar and fraud that you are.


40 posted on 04/11/2018 8:27:55 AM PDT by alstewartfan (Lines of coffee cups on parade. Soldiers for keeping the night away. Al Stewart in Delia's Gone)
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