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Posted on 02/20/2018 7:43:44 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
Ten Democratic U.S. senators up for reelection in 2018 are in a special category, being from states that Donald Trump won in 2016.
Previously, I catalogued five states where Democratic incumbents are considered most vulnerable: Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia. In the other five, Democratic incumbents are far less vulnerable and, in most instances, should feel confident of reelection.
Let’s start with Ohio, which Dems definitely thought they had a decent chance to win in 2016. That proved to be totally wrong.
Ohio is increasingly a Republican state; Trump carried it by 8 points, a healthy margin of 446,841 votes. Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown, it would be surmised, would therefore be in trouble.
But, as in all these states, Trump is not on the ballot.
Brown is seeking his third term; he was first elected in 2006. Previously he was elected statewide as Ohio’s secretary of state and served six terms in the U.S. House of Representatives. Six years ago he faced an attractive Republican opponent, Josh Mandel; Brown beat him by 6 points. Many thought Mandel would try again and be the GOP’s best hope, but he decided not to run.
Two Republicans are vying for the nomination, Rep. Jim Renacci and investment banker Mike Gibbons, and will face each other in a May primary. Brown benefits because neither candidate seems to pose the challenge that Mandel would have been.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
The problem is that in each of these races, only a moderate Republican can win, and the conservative half of the GOP vote in those states, will stay home, because the Republican candidate is a “RINO”. Therefore the Republicans will not pick up any of those seats. And worse, they will probably lose Arizona and Nevada - congrats for majority leader Schumer!
The problem is that in each of these races, only a moderate Republican can win, and the conservative half of the GOP vote in those states, will stay home, because the Republican candidate is a “RINO”. Therefore the Republicans will not pick up any of those seats. And worse, they will probably lose Arizona and Nevada - congrats for majority leader Schumer!
Do you work for MSNBC?
Pray that we GET UP and go get ‘em.
Hey, I am from AZ and believe me, we are looking up at hopefully improving both senate seats if McCain passes and we get either Kelli Ward or McSally in Flakes seat....I am willing to withhold judgement on the republican women running. As for Sheriff Joe, he served us well and I will not think I’ll of him for enforcing AZ law during the Obummer years. However, he is too old at 86 to be running....
A Trump Republican can win in these states, which is staunchly conservative in all areas but just not religious.
Moderate Republican = Democrat. Amazing that Democrats can run hardcore Communists and win Republican states, yet some here demand we run Socialist RINOs and never Conservatives. That’s precisely how we end up with Democrats in charge. Time to cut the crap and run and win with Conservatives.
Mittens is 70.
It’s recruitment. Top tier candidates choose not to run, rather cowardly. Ohio. Walker did his thing in the Governors office. Every seat counts but our ‘leaders don’t think so.
If Rick Scott decides to run in FL Bill Nelson is toast.
First you say that a "moderate Republican can win".
Then you say that a "moderate Republican can't win".
And you say those two contradicting talking-points all in one sentence.
We need to run winners, not ideologues. We lost a race in ALABAMA to a libtard because we primaried a reliable republican because we all thought he was rino, what we got in return was a guy incapable of running a state wide campaign who failed to aggressively deny pedophilia charges and our voters sat home. I believe that killed us in other elections as well. We have to expect the other side to use every dirty trick in the book to throw at us. We need candidates who are fighters, winners and not weirdos. The left can run their weirdos and win, look at Bernie, that guy is batshiat crazy but they follow him like he is some sort of prophet. A RINO in a NJ senate seat or governor’s seat is still 1000000000x then the commie libtard rat. A RINO in a NY senate seat is still 100000000x better then a commie rat. Talk about economic issues in these blue states, not social issues. Talk taxes, talk job growth, talk about local taxes and regulations. these are winners.
If we talk about more money in people’s pockets, lowered taxes, more jobs, higher paying jobs, etc, those are winner issues. Stay out of the social justice swamp. People are sick of that stuff. I think that is why our voters are sitting home.
The Stupid Party will come through, though, and save these Dims. Just like in Alabama, they will run a Rino or happily and not very covertly support a Dim against a true conservative.
In Ohio, Mandel’s wife is seriously in poor health...it was a legit reason.
PLEASE REREAD YOUR POST.
You are a contradiction deluxe.
Let’s toss them out and put in Republicans.
Personality can have a major impact as much as philosophy. John James, for example, is a much better candidate than Fred Upton would have been - not only philosophically but in being able to connect to voters and be a fresh face - it also doesn’t hurt he’s a young / youthful looking guy. However, he will need some serious bucks to win. Josh Hawley is another example in Missouri and McCaskill will be up to her old tricks. John James would probably need $10 million to beat Stabenow and Hawley needs $5 million.
A moneybomb needs to be organized ala what happened to O’Donnell back in 2010 - and these are actually good candidates that can win. $10 million is $10 on average from 1 million conservatives - there are far more than 1 million conservative in this country who could chip in just 10 bucks to each candidate...the only question is how to organize such a thing?
With the donor class closing their wallets apparently to the GOP, the grassroots has the resources to counter it with small donations, but they need to be organized to do so.
This doesn’t include 2 seats in Minnesota -which Trump nearly one. Might e able to flip Frankens seat with a good candidate.
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