Posted on 02/10/2018 5:59:08 AM PST by 11th_VA
Political junkies have their eyes on the first battles of what’s shaping up to be the electoral war of 2018.
Voters will decide two special elections Monday for seats in the Minnesota Legislature after the unexpected resignations of lawmakers late last year amid allegations of sexual misconduct.
Voters in Senate District 54 — which covers Hastings, Cottage Grove and South St. Paul — will pick someone to replace DFLer Dan Schoen. In southern Minnesota they’ll pick a successor for Republican Rep. Tony Cornish, who represented parts of Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Waseca and Watonwan counties.
A lot is at stake, especially in the state Senate where Republicans hold a slim majority that’s already at risk because of the ascension of Sen. Michelle Fischbach to lieutenant governor. That move came after Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton appointed Tina Smith to the U.S. Senate to replace Al Franken, who also resigned amid allegations of sexual impropriety.
Fischbach, who was president of the Senate, is fighting in court to keep her seat.
(Excerpt) Read more at twincities.com ...
The CT-05 is the least Democrat CD in the state, but Santos will need a stiff wind in his back to be able to unseat Congresswoman Esty.
This is all erstwhile RINO Congresswoman Nancy Johnson’s fault. She insisted on her (overwhelmingly Democrat, and with a population of over 70,000, large enough to make a difference) hometown of New Britain being placed in the new CT-05 in 2002 instead of being added to the safely Democrat, Hartford-based CT-01, which would have made the most sense both politically (getting rid of New Britain would have made the new CT-05 a fairly GOP seat) and geographically (New Britain is in Hartford County). While Johnson managed to win the incumbent-vs.-incumbent battle against Democrat James Maloney in 2002, and held on in 2004, she got blown out by one of those obnoxious Murphys (this one was Chris) in 2006, and the seat has been Democrat since. New Britain was kept in the CT-05 in 2012 (the Hartford-based CT-01 looks like a backwards C in order to accommodate the gerrymander), so Nancy’s selfish move from 16 years ago still hurts us today.
BTW, a very similar act of selfishness occurred with RINO Congressman Chris Shays. Overwhelmingly RAT Bridgeport should have been sent tp the New Haven-based CT-03 in 2002, which would have given the CT-04 some GOP turf from Maloney’s old CD, but Shays, who had moved to Bridgeport, insisted that the working-class, heavily minority city be kept in what was largely a white, upper-class (and, at that time, still Republican-majority) district. Shays went on to lose the seat in 2008 despite carrying 14 of 17 towns, with Democrat Congressman Himes’s margin of victory coming entirely in—you guessed it—Bridgeport, which gave the RAT 83% of the vote on huge turnout (with blacks turning out in record numbers to vote for Obama). We haven’t come close to regaining the CT-04, with Bridgeport serving as an insurance policy for the Democrats even if the GOP candidate manages to win the historically Republican towns in the district.
Republicans in CT, which had a lot of influence on 2002 redistricting despite being in the minority in both houses of the General Assembly (Republican John Rowland was governor, and he used his veto threat to ensure that the General Assembly approved a map that didn’t sell out Republicans), should have told Nancy Johnson and Chris Shays to go pound sand and to move to another part of their district that wasn’t 70% Democrat. Rarely does drawing a congressional district based on the home of an incumbent pay off in the long run.
So I wish Mayor Santos luck in his race against Congresswoman Esty; he’s going to need it.
Ct-5 is a safe seat for 2018
But it gives us something constructive to work on here
And Santos is a fine candidate for 2020, 2022
The dems won’t give up the map of this district as long as they have an incumbent
Pete, you should claim Esty touched you in your no no place, seems to be the only way to take someone down.
She molested my cat. And since he is a minor, technically, he is a kitten
Esty, gravely wounded. May be fatal
Meanwhile, my daffodils now growing fast
It’s not to late for them to snap her out though, damn.
Is there is a viable GOPer looking at the race?
“Snap” = “Swap”
Plenty of GOP
No obvious Dem to run
Esty won’t kwit
She gonna lose
From your keyboard to God’s ear.
If the dems have a streak it will create momentum into november and trump will face impeachment articles in the house. There will be a bill for reparations for slavery and so on.
If trump starts the wall and indicts hillary, obama and lynch and rice and comey, he will win in a landslide.
even democrats want hillary in jail and out of sight
Well, hopefully she doesn’t lose the primary.
The primary isn’t until August and the filing deadline is ten weeks away (June 8), so there’s plenty if time for the CT Democrat Party to chuck Esty and get a prominent RAT to file. The CT-05 is the least Democrat CD in the state, so we’ll have a chance in an open-seat scenario, but not as good a chance as against a scandal-tarred incumbent.
7 state senators and 30 representatives
Few are dems
None are candidate material
Dem legislators starting to call for her to step down
They must have somebody in mind
Dan Roberti of Kent starting to make noise
Ran in 2010
Not a big name
District convention is mid-May. 300+ delegates. 15% threshold.
Won’t be unanimous for anyone. Possible:
OLeary
Schofield
Cook
Roberti
Roberti ready to jump in
GOP
Greenberg seriously thinking
And
Carter. 16 Senate candidate
Esty announces that she won’t be seeking reelection. https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/esty-calls-for-ethics-review-of-her-handling-of-baker-allegations-dismissal/2018/04/02/7ed2cc14-3685-11e8-9c0a-85d477d9a226_story.html?utm_term=.7630654e79c0
Republicans should keep pressure on her to resign immediately, and to get Democrat candidates on the record on whether they think that Esty should resign immediately.
This CD would be a fairly easy GOP pickup if it did not squirrel around the Hartford suburbs to include New Britain. Thanks, Nancy Johnson.
@Politics1com
14h14 hours ago
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CT CD-5: St Rep William Petit (R), the NRCC’s top recruit target for this open congressional seat, announced today he will NOT run for it.
Ole Ron Bunzburlgar sounds happy
So who are the potential GOP candidates in CT-05 now?
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