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Study finds that global warming exacerbates refugee crises
The Guardian ^ | January 15, 2018 | by John Abraham

Posted on 01/15/2018 7:31:25 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

The refugee crisis – particularly in the Mediterranean area – has received large amounts of new attention in the past few years, with people fleeing from Syria and entering the European Union emblematic of the problem. There has been some research connecting this refugee problem with changes to the climate. In particular, the years preceding the Syrian refugee crisis were characterized by a severe drought that reduced farm output and led to economic and social strife there.

Separating out the influences of climate change from general social instability may be impossible, because they are intimately linked. But we do know that climate change can cause social and economic instability. We also know that these instabilities can boil over into larger problems that lead to mass exodus. The problem isn’t knowing the connection between climate and refugees exists – rather the problem is quantifying it.

A very recent publication appearing in the journal Science investigates this complex subject.

The researchers identified 103 countries that contributed to asylum applications to the European Union. Collectively, these nations submitted 350,000 applications to the EU per year. The authors combed the weather histories from these 103 source sites and explored how the weather varied in the 2000–2014 time period.

Using a collection of climate models that are able to predict Earth’s future climate, the authors estimated that on a business-as-usual emissions pathway (where countries don’t meaningfully reduce greenhouse gas emissions), asylum applications will increase by almost 200% by the end of the century. On the other hand, under a modest warming scenario, where humans take some meaningful action to reduce emissions, the increase falls to about 30%. Again, this shows that what humans do today to combat climate change really matters.

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: globalism; globalwarming; hoax; propaganda
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1 posted on 01/15/2018 7:31:26 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Using a collection of climate models that are able to predict Earth’s future climate . . .

LOL. Since when????

2 posted on 01/15/2018 7:33:14 AM PST by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If so, then the cold must be a relief to the refugee crisis. Therefore, ship them all to Antarctica!


3 posted on 01/15/2018 7:34:24 AM PST by ArtDodger
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The “refugee crisis” is caused by people shooting people...

Not “climate change”...


4 posted on 01/15/2018 7:35:19 AM PST by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

So the climate is creating sh#tholes?


5 posted on 01/15/2018 7:35:56 AM PST by Right Brother
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

How does it ‘affect’ the citizens of those countries those ‘immigrant invaders’ invade due to CC?


6 posted on 01/15/2018 7:36:32 AM PST by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

About as true as:

Study finds that unicorn excrement exacerbates Skittles production


7 posted on 01/15/2018 7:36:44 AM PST by kosciusko51
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Ya Ya we know , Global Warming causes everything ,LOL


8 posted on 01/15/2018 7:37:02 AM PST by butlerweave
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

‘In particular, the years preceding the Syrian refugee crisis were characterized by a severe drought that reduced farm output and led to economic and social strife there.’

Because there is never a drought IN THE DESERT!


9 posted on 01/15/2018 7:37:37 AM PST by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Of course it does. Just like it aggravates tooth decay, divorce, knock-knock jokes, and male pattern baldness.

Heck, the other day my wife made brownies, and they were dry and crumbly. Why? You guessed it ...

10 posted on 01/15/2018 7:39:20 AM PST by IronJack (A)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Perhaps what really exacerbates the refugee crisis is thievery among those in charge of getting supplies to the camps....we are told a great deal of the donated food etc. goes to thieves who sell it on the black market.


11 posted on 01/15/2018 7:42:54 AM PST by yoe ("The FBI did everything but drive Hillary's get away car.......")
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To: Right Brother
So the climate is creating sh#tholes?

Yes. Haiti and the Dominican Republic have 2 very different climates even though they are both on the same island.

12 posted on 01/15/2018 7:44:43 AM PST by bankwalker (Immigration without assimilation is an invasion.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The Bush, Obama, Clinton and the Deep state’s useless proxy civil wars in the mid-east exacerbate the refugee crisis.

In fact, circumstantial evidence indicates they are causing the so-called “refugee flow” on purpose.


13 posted on 01/15/2018 7:48:52 AM PST by PGR88
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

Why is there a ‘collection’ of models? If the modeling is that good, one would suffice.


14 posted on 01/15/2018 7:49:04 AM PST by Bob (Damn, the democrats haven't been this upset since Republicans freed their slaves.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I dunno. I did a study that found that the “refugee crisis” was manufactured and “exacerbated” by progressives around the world. I like my study better.


15 posted on 01/15/2018 7:50:54 AM PST by Cincinnatus.45-70 (What do DemocRats enjoy more than a truckload of dead babies? Unloading them with a pitchfork!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Because that is the result that those paying for the study were looking for!


16 posted on 01/15/2018 7:54:14 AM PST by Redleg Duke (Build KateÂ’s Wall! Never Forget!)
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

We can hardly predict weather, let alone climate.


17 posted on 01/15/2018 7:54:49 AM PST by neverevergiveup
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

Global Warming Drives Mussulman Hijrah!


18 posted on 01/15/2018 8:03:47 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The only thing glow Bull warming does not seem to cause is a change in mean temperature.


19 posted on 01/15/2018 8:04:40 AM PST by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

They manage to top themselves every day.


20 posted on 01/15/2018 8:13:10 AM PST by EdnaMode
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