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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part IV
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9/10/2017 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/10/2017 2:02:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The entire Florida Peninsula has begun to experience Hurricane Irma following landfall at Marco Island. Thousands of Floridians who evacuated the Atlantic cost to Gulf Coast areas found their safe shelter under direct threat from Hurricane Irma as the forecast shifted W Friday night and Saturday. Prayers for all in the storm path.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
FL Radar Map with Irma Track Overlay


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Orlando, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA


Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I
Hurricane Irma Live Thread II
Hurricane Irma Live Thread III


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florida; hurricane; hurricaneirma; irma; livehurricaneirma
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To: Jim 0216

No comparisons....bad is still bad.


1,101 posted on 09/12/2017 9:05:56 AM PDT by caww
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To: Qiviut

Thanks...am sure that will be helpful for some who haven’t a clue where to begin.


1,102 posted on 09/12/2017 9:07:34 AM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse; metmom; dirtboy

Thanks for doing yeoman’s work on these threads. It is appreciated. I do have one complaint, however. If you say something stupid that I disagree with in the future on an unrelated thread, I will probably think back to your public service here and be less likely to call you names even if you deserve it and even if I really want to spout off. So that grates on me a bit. :-)

On a side note to some others: Yes, Irma was not as bad as Camille or Katrina. I remember them both vividly. Thankful that Irma was not as bad as forecast, although some areas were indeed hit rather hard. However, Camille and Katrina come into play, because, with Irma as a large, persistent, category 5 hurricane headed toward the United States mainland, it was reasonable to think that another Camille or Katrina was possible. The next time that a large, persistent, category 5 hurricane heads our way, should we not evacuate based on your downplay of the possible ramifications? Alas, I fear that you are neither a prophet nor the son of a prophet.

Best wishes in the rebuilding process to those who suffered from Irma and Harvey.


1,103 posted on 09/12/2017 9:12:05 AM PDT by Engraved-on-His-hands
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To: caww
Atlantic Beach In Jacksonville shows once replenished dunes errosion after Irma lashed it's beaches.....


1,104 posted on 09/12/2017 9:12:05 AM PDT by caww
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To: caww
Police plowing through flood waters ...Hendricks Ave. San Marco..Monday


1,105 posted on 09/12/2017 9:16:11 AM PDT by caww
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To: Engraved-on-His-hands
It really is a can't-win situation, the trick is not to lose. Houston evacuated for Rita and the evacuation was worse than the impact as Rita veered to the east. Then Ike came along three years later and hosed the region and showed the raw power of surge. Houston's mayor, given the forecast for Harvey, took heed more of the flawed Rita evacuation than the impact of Ike, did not back evacuations, and as a result a lot of people were subject to water rescues. Meanwhile, the worst flooding in Florida from Irma was in Jacksonville, far away from landfall and subject to 'only' tropical storm-force winds.

Anyone who studies hurricane history knows they are fickle, will do unexpected things that put a lot of people in harm's way, and to assume that decisions can be made with utter certainty in a timely enough manner to act upon them is being completely unrealistic.

1,106 posted on 09/12/2017 9:20:17 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: palmer
But their discussion said they thought that would not weaken Irma.

It went just a few miles further south over Cuba than they predicted - and then the shear and dry air from the Gulf took a big toll on the south side of Irma just after it passed the Keys. It was a very narrow avoidance of the feared Cat 5 hit.

1,107 posted on 09/12/2017 9:20:32 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: metmom

Let me clarify for you.

The flooding in Jacksonville, especially near San Marco and Nira is far worse than expected.


1,108 posted on 09/12/2017 9:28:06 AM PDT by Bodleian_Girl (Don't check the news, check Cernovich on Twitter)
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To: RegulatorCountry

I would love to do a deep dive thread on Charlottesville and all the mulatto property owners with you at some point.

Because all those cafe a lait babies did not create themselves. :-)


1,109 posted on 09/12/2017 9:30:45 AM PDT by Bodleian_Girl (Don't check the news, check Cernovich on Twitter)
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To: dirtboy

Jacksonville had just had a major storm go through there WHILE Irma was creeping up the state. Some mistook it for the bands of Irma which were not there yet. Then of course Irma got there with what is now determined ‘CAT 3# STORM SURGE’...added to that Jose’ was pushing water forward which otherwise might have drained out.

I was on the phone most of the night with my brother who lives there....lots of wind and rain pounding in his area @ large trees were uprooted of which he sent photos of in his neighborhood, which was above the flood zones. Lost electric about 2:00AM Sunday/Monday...it was a long night! But by onday night had their electric restored.

All in all it’s been a mess in Jacksonville breaking all previous records for flooding.


1,110 posted on 09/12/2017 9:35:51 AM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse; RegulatorCountry

Maybe it was a neap tide.


1,111 posted on 09/12/2017 9:36:09 AM PDT by Bodleian_Girl (Don't check the news, check Cernovich on Twitter)
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To: Bodleian_Girl

They arose from a variety of sources. Assuming they all were fathered by slave owners is erroneous. That’s not to say that that did not occur, but it’s far from predominant, let alone being due to rape as is commonly accused. There were randy younger male relatives of the owner, there were overseers. The largest mulatto communities in my awareness arose from basically outlaw camps in the wilderness on colonial borders or state lines pretty far back, comprised of runaway white indentured servants, runaway black slaves and some natives who for whatever reason joined them.


1,112 posted on 09/12/2017 9:36:25 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: Engraved-on-His-hands

Thank you for your kind and thoughtful comments! I can say that receiving a robo Emergency Management call at 0500 on the day of landfall stating “Get Out Now! Storm Surge 12-15ft expected” is startling. Fortunately, it didn’t happen. Very fortunate. And that is a fact, not an opinion.


1,113 posted on 09/12/2017 9:37:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: RegulatorCountry

Off topic. This is a Hurricane Irma thread.


1,114 posted on 09/12/2017 9:39:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for the dispassionate, concise reply. My apologies.


1,115 posted on 09/12/2017 9:41:22 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: RegulatorCountry

I’ll have to jump back in my research, but one mulatto woman from Monticello was given a parcel right in the middle of her presumed father’s (and 1/2 brothers land.)


1,116 posted on 09/12/2017 9:47:43 AM PDT by Bodleian_Girl (Don't check the news, check Cernovich on Twitter)
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To: dirtboy
flawed Rita evacuation

However iirc they took measures to improve flow out of the city - expanding lanes and setting up means to close off inbound freeway lanes to permit ALL lanes to be outbound. this seemed to be ignored in Houston, but was used in Florida.

1,117 posted on 09/12/2017 9:50:56 AM PDT by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
Reed Timmer‏ @ReedTimmerAccu 15m 15 minutes ago More Video last night of evacuees heading back south after Hurricane #Irma. Remember to fill up w/ gas anytime you can. Zero lodging available

Video last night of evacuees heading back south after Hurricane #Irma. Remember to fill up w/ gas anytime you can. Zero lodging available pic.twitter.com/Jdmsnm3E7H— Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu) September 12, 2017


1,118 posted on 09/12/2017 9:55:44 AM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Godzilla

The DOT in Florida has a well-developed “Contraflow” plan as do all the hurricane-prone southeastern Atlantic and Gulf Coast States, including TXDOT in Texas. The Houston mayor declining to issue a mandatory evacuation prevented the governor’s declaration that would have set contraflow into motion out of Houston, to my understanding.


1,119 posted on 09/12/2017 9:57:58 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: palmer
The NHC forecast tracked showed a eyewall hit on Cuba

That depends on which NHC forecast you look at. They were moving the track on and off Cuba, several times. On the Thurday, when they first started talking about a Cat 4/5 hitting Miami, they were showing it brushing the coast of Cuba, but NOT making landfall there... hence, little to no weakening.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/IRMA_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line_and_wind

1,120 posted on 09/12/2017 10:17:26 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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