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To: BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; naturalman1975; Jane Long; fortheDeclaration; ...

Fact worth noting, very much worth noting actually.

The Tories got 42.4%, 5.5% MORE than the last election.

By comparison Thatcher got

43.9% in 1979

42.4% (yes exactly the same as May) in 1983 (GAINED seats despite the slight decline) so on the exact same vote share as May she won almost 400 seats

42.2% in 1987

Major got 41.9% in 1992

So why no majority? Cause the more important number is the margin between the Tories and Labour

1979 it was 7 points

1983 it was 14.8 points (Labour barely came in 2nd place with the 2 predecessor parties to the Lib dems in alliance with each other got a quarter of the vote)

1987 it was 11.4 points

1992 (narrow Tory majority) it was 7.5 points

In 2015 it was 6.6 points.

This time? It was 2.4 points. Labour got 40% even, nearly 10 points better than last time.

So it’s not that the Tories didn’t do well enough, it’s that Labour did too well.

Not enough third party vote taken from Labour, the Lib dems, despite gaining 4 seats, LOST half a percentage point in total votes.

Labour’s 40% is a higher share than Blair got in winning a majority in 2005.

Labour LEAVE voters who went UKIP last time falling for Corbyn’s BS is the most notable problem here. Those voters enabled Cameron to win a majority, and enabled Corybn to prevent May from winning a majority.

If Corbyn becomes PM before brexit is done he will do as soft a brexit as possible or else call a SECOND REFERENDUM like the Lib dems want (and since it would certainly be a minority government with Lib Dem and SNP help.....)


305 posted on 06/10/2017 2:51:56 PM PDT by Impy (End the kritarchy!)
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To: Impy
Very true, but I don't see Labour taking over the PM.

The DUP may actually move the Tories to the Right.

Hopefully, Farage will be able to bring back UKIP voters and rebuild the Party.

310 posted on 06/10/2017 5:20:07 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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