Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why you should get out of the stock market — now
Dallas Morning News ^ | 02/13/2017 | Laurence Kotlikoff

Posted on 02/14/2017 10:53:54 AM PST by DFG

Smart economists never predict the stock market. Our theory tells us that it's impossible. Leaving aside inside information, everyone already knows what we know and has traded on this old news and moved stock prices accordingly. Princeton economist Burton Malkiel popularized this point in his famous book A Random Walk Down Wall Street. The fact that only "new news," things that people don't yet know or expect, should change stock prices means that stock movements are supposed to be random — that is, unpredictable.

(Excerpt) Read more at dallasnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: boston; economist; kotlikoff; stockmarket; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-74 last
To: AndyTheBear
Trading is like gambling.

No it isn't if you know what you are doing.......

Casino's have the BIG advantage...as the odds are overwhelmingly in their favor.

If you know what you are doing....you can make the odds in you favor...trading stocks.

FWIW-

61 posted on 02/15/2017 7:43:38 AM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

Why don’t go short the “M”?


I don’t gamble.


62 posted on 02/15/2017 7:54:30 AM PST by Mr. Douglas (Best. Election. EVER!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: roadcat

Like you, I saw 2008 as a buying opportunity — i doubled what I put in each week for the next five years. Made my retirement much better.

I think however, the key item is that the equities market, the stock market, should only be less than half of your investments. Real estate, bonds, cash and debt freedom really should make up 60% of your net worth. Paid for home and vehicles, freedom from debt for toys, that is wealth.


63 posted on 02/15/2017 7:56:55 AM PST by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Mr. Douglas

Whatever...........


64 posted on 02/15/2017 7:59:45 AM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

Read my whole post.


65 posted on 02/15/2017 8:10:08 AM PST by AndyTheBear
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 61 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

It’s been a crap shoot since Washington got involved during the Clinton years on.
Government bails out some, changes regs to bury others and so on.

Zero interest to rates devestated savings and synthetically rose stock market prices way beyond reality.


66 posted on 02/15/2017 10:00:59 AM PST by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: AndyTheBear
I did....

I suspect you meant....Trading is like gambling if you have no idea what you are doing.

Is that about right?

67 posted on 02/15/2017 11:59:56 AM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 65 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy
Craps are luck based.

So are slot machines and the like...

Trading isn't gambling if you know what you are doing...you can place the odds in your favor. That won't ever happen in a casino.

FWIW-

68 posted on 02/15/2017 12:02:47 PM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

Sort of. but it takes more than just knowing. Waiting for a good opportunity and then letting it play out requires mastering emotions that will try to make you act impulsively and make mistakes. For myself with a mathematical/computer background I found understanding to be the easier part of mastering the art of trading.


69 posted on 02/15/2017 12:12:16 PM PST by AndyTheBear
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

Actually I read the patterns well in certain brands of slots and earn about $150 an hour when I do that seven times a year.

The stock market is 100% about perception. It is not always reality based at all.


70 posted on 02/15/2017 1:25:03 PM PST by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 68 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy

Well you should quit your work job...and become a pro slot player...............$150 per hr..ain’t bad money.


71 posted on 02/15/2017 2:38:59 PM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

You have to observe and get on at the right time.

It”s good for 5-7k a year, but I don’t want to get addicted and stick to penny machines.

I go on a free cruise in June from one casino. I am good at pulling my. Are 85% of the time before I win.


72 posted on 02/15/2017 4:42:31 PM PST by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy
Well if you have the knack...why not go full time.

You seem to have these slots pegged...

Most often..I've heard free cruises are given to those who leave money at the casino.

Maybe not in your case.....

I've no idea what your last two sentences mean....

73 posted on 02/15/2017 4:58:30 PM PST by Osage Orange (We can all live together as brothers or perish together as fools)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 72 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

You don’t want to be seen that often, if they are adding to hotels the wins are set up to stop.
Lots of reasons, and sometimes the same past winning machine gets a software change.

Fun, but you have to be on your A game.


74 posted on 02/15/2017 6:35:14 PM PST by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-74 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson