Posted on 02/12/2017 1:25:32 PM PST by NobleFree
NO!!!
They were probably done by the same pollsters that said Hilary was a shoe in. RED FLAG!
red
Nate Silver is a joke, and up until 8pm on election night he was still calling it for hillary
I’ll reread this and I believe you are right - I do disagree with the premise the polls were in the margin of error. I remember routinely seeing polls that were 4 and 5 % MOE which sucks. The pollsters were lying or are just bad, last week tightening or not. The tracking poll the Dornsfeld I believe was showing much more accurate numbers the whole time. I’m sticking with lying pollsters either that or bad ones. The fact they don’t know how to oversample should itself speak volumes about any poll across that population set. I’m having trouble understanding how poll companies get work after this and the Brexit debacle. Would you hire most of these outfits to do a poll for you after what we have seen? It appears you have to pay extra for MOE 3% and below. Silvers problem is he believes in statistics to give him predictive analytics to divine the future - He needs a more causal based math.
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