In 2018 the Democrats have to defend 23 seats and two independents.
We only have to defend 8.
I see 10 or more vulnerable seats for the demo and we have to focus on taking them.
If all we get is 10 seats we will have increased our numbers in the house from 241 to at least 251, which will swamp the Dems, leaving them with only 184 members.
I think it’s possible we gain even more but, that remains to seen and then it’s gearing up for 2020.
In 2020, Trump will have accomplished so much of his agenda and the country swimming in prosperity will be compelled to vote overwhelmingly for Trump and bring along more down ticket victories as well.
You are confused. It’s the Senate, not the House that has 33 seats up for election. And if the Republicans gain 10 seats in the Senate, that makes 52 + 10 = 62 seats, which, in theory could end the filibuster. Given McCain, Graham, McConnell, and 6-8 others, no filibuster will be on a law-by-law basis.
All 435 seats are up every 2 years in the House. The Republicans could gain 20 seats, lose 20 seats, or anywhere in-between, in 2018. Unless the Republicans go under 225 in the House, it should not make any practical difference, as anything that can pass the Senate should sail through the House. Yet, the bigger the Republican majority, the shorter the bench for the Demonrats.
The Demonrats hold only 16 governorships after the 2016 election, and several of these have little to no chance of becoming President (e.g. Jerry Brown will be 82 in 2020. Jay Nixon lost in 2016, and has an unfortunate name for a Demonrat. Tom Wolf, governor of Pennsylvania, will turn 72 in 2020. Terry McAuliffe appears to be the early front-runner, depending on whether his long-time Clinton connection will be helpful in 2020.