AZ had a lot of CA migrants who hated the taxes there. But it was still +5.3% Trump, McTurd won by more than 10, other senator is a RINO, house and senate are R.
In short, the change won’t amount to much. Trump got about 40% of Hispanics here, and will push that above 50% in 2020 if he does what he promises.
So, AZ COULD become a bastion. NM was 11 points. Trump thought it was 2 and gettable. But Johnson made a huge difference there and in NV. Without Johnson, both of those are razor thin. Same thing as AZ: solid performance by Trump and I think he can sweep all of these, plus CO.
AZ was only +3.5% Trump, down from +9 Romney. Johnson’s total went up about 2.75% this time from 2012. Can’t use Johnson as that much of an excuse because he was on the ballot in 2012 too. And only half Trump’s lost Romney votes went to Johnson.
NM, CO and NV all moved significantly towards the GOP candidate from 2012. AZ moved MASSIVELY away. It’s a major unreported story and simply exacerbates the disastrous electoral trend the GOP is having in the Southwest.
Also keep in mind that AZ had the 2nd biggest increase in votes from 2012, next to Texas. This seems to indicate there was a big increase in liberals moving to AZ and so this vote shift will be permanent.
Similar problem in TX, but the GOP is still so far ahead in TX that swinging that state to the Dems is still a distant threat at best.