Posted on 11/08/2016 12:17:31 PM PST by GilGil
The Democracy Institute, a politically independent public policy research organization, published a poll on Monday showing Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by five points.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Same as what Helmut Norpoth predicted!! LOL
D+2 poll. Less than most, but probably closer to reality. Even adjusting for D+3 or D+4, Trump is still outside the MOE for this poll.
I swore I would stay away from all television political commentary until polls closed. Sadly I failed miserable on that for about an hour. I hope Sean is right on this, and wish I knew what he did. The only thing I have seen on turnout, during my limited viewing was CNN exuberant that Latinos were coming out “in masse” to vote in FL and NV. However, FOX stated that traditional Republican areas in FL are showing a very good turnout.
I am old and tired. Here come the longest 8 hours of my life.
___________________
After watching a 70 year old become the 45th president of the US, and watching his energy I don’t want to hear about old and tired.
I agree..I remember with mitt..he was crabby and kept telling everyone to go out and vote over and over again!!! That’s when I knew he lost..RUSH too was pretty uppity
Headline reminds me of the financial markets disarray after Brexit.
Markets today started a Hillary rally then sobered up and have been in a holding pattern all day. Same for the Peso.
Still fun to watch.
In my model, I have Trump at exactly 270 without Michigan and Colorado. I feel, if he wins those states, he wins it all. What is your source for this?
My source for what?
Shep Smith is so biased it’s hard to watch. What’s everyone else watching?
Hillary makes one final push:
“So listen guys...if even more damning evidence about my treasonous crimes and despicable behavior are released just know up front that its all a lie and um the russians hacked me and and um trump um (cough cough) is in the KKK and he hacked me and he called alicia muchogrande fat (cough) and he is dangerous and orange. Oh yeah and ive defended women and children over the last 30 years (except when i was defending and enabling rapists like my husband but lets not go there) I think i wrote or passed the Women and Children First Act or Amendment or law? Oh and Trump hates women and children. And i know i voted for Iraq but i really didnt want to and stupid trump was totally for Iraq. You can totally google it and verify it on snopes and dailykos. The evil warmonger said he supported the troops or something. Oh and did i say i totally support women and children? Oh and to my black friends i just want to say ‘Yo dawgs yo muthaf***in lives matter yo! And i be up on stage bustin stone cold rhymes wid Jay-Z yo! Yo all the niggas and f***in bitches goin be in da house yo. Da White House yo!’ But again Trumps dark divisive comments about women and minorities and his use of the P-word have shaken me to the core. So vote for me! Where am i again?”
save for later
Don’t be too encouraged by the early exit polls, because the results can easily flip once Democrats get off work and go vote.
Oh, wait.
I take the RCP No Tossups map, flip NH to Trump and come up with a tie. Whoopsie. I don’t see a solid win without the whole upper mid-west flipping (MN / WI / MI)
I’m following Bill Mitchell’s twitter feed. Excellent intel coming out.
I take the RCP No Tossups map, flip NH to Trump and come up with a tie. Whoopsie. I don’t see a solid win without the whole upper mid-west flipping (MN / WI / MI)
I agree. They’ll want less people seeing them eat their words and choking on announcing Trump’s victory. I believe OH will tell the story, and we’ll win OH handily!
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