Posted on 11/08/2016 4:50:41 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Here are the final 2012 vs 2016 early vote totals.
2012 (ballots cast, not yet counted)
Absentee Ballot - REPs led by 79,000
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs led by 247,000
Combined Early voting - DEMs led by 168,000
Obama won Florida in 2012 by 74,000 votes
2016 (ballots cast, not yet counted)
Absentee Ballot - REPs lead by 64,592
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 154,694
Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 90,102
The DEM lead has been reduced from 168,000 in 2012 early voting to 90,102 in 2016. That is an improvement of 78,000. That wipes out Obama's entire 2012 winning margin.
Trump takes Florida and the White House!
but heard white vote is also way up.
Hispanic vote was up 453K votes
AA up 70K
White up 900K.
using polling data that would translate into a net plus of 56K for Trump
WTF do Republicans do about anything we want?
That doesn’t calculate to automatic votes for the old hag.....my entire family voted Trump.
Thanks for the updates!
Don’t forget the Venezuelans that are there too. They won’t be voting for Hillary.
Also heard the increase in the white vote (votes not percentages) dwarfs the increase in the Hispanic vote.
is a tautology.
I keep hearing from FOX that 200,000 more Hispanics have voted than in 2012!!!
What the media fails to mention is that in Florida "Hispanic" often means Cuban, and Cuban's tend to vote Republican. Cuban's don't really consider themselves Hispanic even though demographers lump them in with Hispanics and most couldn't care less what Trump says about Mexicans or if he's going to build a wall on the Mexican border, because they aren't very fond of central American Hispanics themselves.
Hispanics like me... my wife... her family.
Who all voted for Trump.
Excellent! (at least that’s how it looks to me)
On a 1-10 scale, how good are those numbers?
The percentage of Hispanics voting is up. But more whites are voting in absolute terms. Just a smaller percentage increase.
AA vote will be down.
Trump will take 30-35% of the Hispanic vote (primarily Cubans).
Yes we should be worried about FL, but I’m giving Florida to Trump by 2.5% - mainly based on a projected win of the Indys.
Correct. While a smaller percentage increase, absolute numbers are way bigger than Hispanic increase.
I haven't posted a lot on your threads, but I appreciate them.
Thanks for all your hard work!
And, speaking of Florida:
“Hispanic vote was up 453K votes
AA up 70K
White up 900K.”
Yep, those are the correct numbers.
As to the AA up numbers, absolute number up (more people in the state), but as a percentage of the vote, AA is down.
And don't forget there are, what, 100,000 Haitians living in Florida.
They don't like the Clinton Foundation one bit, Precious.
I'm feeling confident about FL, and any shenanigans in Broward County will be fiercely litigated, IMHO.
Judging by all the momentum Trump is showing in traditional Democratic strongholds (e.g. MI, MN, PA) and battleground states (FL, NC, OH, NH), it sure feels like a Trump victory, and possibly a landslide.
I just feel like once faced with the security and privacy of the voting booth, each American individual will vote his/her conscience, and thus a substantial "hidden vote" will manifest for Donald Trump, ensuring his victory.
On my electoral map, I've got Trump at 264, taking what's expected plus FL, NC, OH, NH, and 1 EV from ME.
Thus, if Trump can just pick off one of: NV (latest poll has Trump +4.6), CO, NM, MN, WI, MI (latest poll has Trump +1.7), PA (latest poll has Trump +1.92), or VA, he wins. And if there's any hidden vote at all for Trump, or his crowds mean anything, or enthusiasm means anything, he should be able to manage that.
A lot of these late polls are from Trafalgar, which seems like a legit outfit trying to establish itself. If anyone has good late polls from CO, NM, MN, WI, or VA, please supplement my info.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!
The numbers look good. In most polls Trump gets 30+% of hispanic vote.
However, I’ve read that there are a lot of new Puerto Rican hispanics in FL and they tend to vote similar to AA (90% D). So I’m not sure how much that offsets the Cuban vote which is typically more R.
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