Posted on 11/06/2016 11:04:43 AM PST by GilGil
Happy to give you credit. It's a kill shot.
Election night will be interesting. Landslide in today’s demographic is not gonna happen, though.
We will win FL.
According to the posts on early voting, GOP votes are matching that of the Democrats.
Trump is winning FL. handily.
Undecideds will break toward Trump.
Don’t confuse him with the facts, he wants to wring his hands and proclaim doom and gloom.
For real???....:)
So, the polls admit that Hillary is in trouble and then want to deny it by ignoring their own data.
That’s YUGE! if he carrids both, he wins.
This is grossly incorrect. In NV in 2012, there were 1,257,621 active voters at close of registration. 1,014,918 voters cast ballots. 81% turnout in NV in 2012.
So this year, there are 1,464,819 active voters in NV at close of registration. We should expect at least 81% turnout and because of enthusiasm possibly 83 to 84% turnout. Using 81% as a baseline, gives us 1,186,503 voters this year. There have 770,000 voters during the early voting period.
At a minimum in NV, there are still 430,000 voters left to vote much larger than 2012. Also if turnout pushes up from 81% to 83 to 84% then there could be 500,000 voters left to vote (a huge sum in NV).
The current voter advantage of 45,000 more Dems than Reps can easily be overcome on election day in NV. Seems rather doable honestly. Again unaffiliateds will determine NV.
You’re also wrong on FL. After today, about 6.3 million Floridians have cast ballots. There are 12.86 million active voters at close of registration.
We are still under 50% turnout so far in FL. Turnout in 2008 FL was 74% and in 2012 was 71%. I honestly expect turnout to exceed 2008 and be between 75 to 80% in FL this year. At 75% turnout, that would be 9.65 million voters in FL. So that would be an additional 3.35 million voters to vote on election day.
If turnout bumps up to 80% (unlikely but possible), that would be over 10 million Floridians voting this year. So that would be an additional 3.7 million voters to vote on election day.
Your numbers are off.
Hope you are right.
LOL, why would I base the numbers on all registered voters who we know are not going to vote? I’m basing the early vote against the 2012 turnout.
There were some legal issues with the early vote in 2012 which kept it down. This election, early vote is way up. It’s being cannibalized from election day vote.
TTTT!
Well turnout is based on active registered voters. 80% in NV and 75% at a minimum in FL. There was one notation about how EV was not cannibalizing election day for GOP
Same like Iowa. We will know in 36 hours.
“Hispanics” in Florida are Cubans, Dominicans, Puerto Ricans, and you can include Haitians by proximity. Not illegals from Mexico.
Cubans will probably trend somewhat toward Trump, but Puerto Ricans are Dim voters. They voted Dims in PR for years and they are "shocked" that their island is a complete mess. And then, they flee to central Florida and vote Dim there too! Because idiot Dims fleeing their mess of a state (or island) NEVER learn that voting for Dims and Progressives ALWAYS ends in failure!
Rove is a Bushie and the Bushes have all but campaigned for Killary! One establishment political wing supporting the other.
Just because a certain number of Democrats already voted doesn’t mean they all voted for Hillary. What percentage of those are actually voting Trump? I am very optimistic.
It is going to be a great day to make America great again.
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