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Nevada: Trump 49.61%, Clinton 45.01%
Trafalgar Group ^ | Nov 6th, 2016

Posted on 11/05/2016 11:13:08 PM PDT by Helicondelta


(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2016polls
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To: JamesP81
... unless a lot of dems are voting Trump.

Trump isn't going to win 25% of registered Democrats, but I'm predicting that he'll do better among Democrats than any Republican candidate has in decades.

21 posted on 11/05/2016 11:30:14 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Yo, bartender -- Jobu needs a refill!")
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To: Helicondelta

bookmark


22 posted on 11/05/2016 11:31:43 PM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: Helicondelta
My only concern is the emphasis on NV for Trump. It makes it sound like NV is necessary for this election. Obviously, a good campaign would have at least a few avenues to 270.

It could be that Trump is just making sure his other avenues don't collapse at the last minute. It may also be he needs NV and could lose the election without the state. I honestly don't have a good sense either way.

23 posted on 11/05/2016 11:32:42 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: goldstategop

Lets stay as positive as possible over the next 48 hours.


24 posted on 11/05/2016 11:32:54 PM PDT by Az Joe (Desu Hoc Vult!! The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time....)
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To: BigEdLB

OK thanks


25 posted on 11/05/2016 11:33:43 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: CatOwner

Dumb asses! All the Dems did was cannibalize their Election Day vote! Early voting doesn’t magically create more votes! Lol


26 posted on 11/05/2016 11:34:11 PM PDT by Az Joe (Desu Hoc Vult!! The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time....)
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To: Helicondelta

NV is about 4-5% Mormon.


27 posted on 11/05/2016 11:35:22 PM PDT by Az Joe (Desu Hoc Vult!! The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time....)
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To: Az Joe
Dumb asses! All the Dems did was cannibalize their Election Day vote! Early voting doesn’t magically create more votes! Lol

Probably true. It seems more likely to be used to discourage Election Day turnout by Trump voters.

28 posted on 11/05/2016 11:35:54 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: JamesP81

I think this bloodbath stuff began with f&cking Allahpundit (who else) running his mouth about the Early Votes in Nevada, and then naturally extrapolating the effect of a Nevada loss because of the Latino vote.

The EV differential (D over R), from what I have seen, did not account for the 100K-plus independent votes that appear to be breaking R.

Anyone else have thoughts?


29 posted on 11/05/2016 11:36:33 PM PDT by guido911 (Please ss)
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To: snarkytart

From AnalPundit at Hot Gas

He predicted in 2010 that Harry Reid would hold onto his Senate seat when many conservatives thought the red wave that year would wipe Reid out and hand his seat to Sharron Angle. Ralston was right. He predicted in 2012 that Obama would defeat Romney in the state but that Republican Dean Heller would win a Senate seat in a nailbiter. Right again. He predicted in 2014 that the big red wave that was brewing would lead to wins for Republicans up and down the ballot in Nevada. Correct. If Trump pulls Nevada out, there’ll be so much egg on his face that he’ll never be able to scrape all of it off. It’ll be a major hit to his reputation as the guy who knows Nevada politics better than anyone.

http://hotair.com/archives/2016/11/05/nevada-early-voting-ends-major-democratic-advantage-thanks-part-strong-latino-numbers/


30 posted on 11/05/2016 11:36:59 PM PDT by MountainWalker
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To: Az Joe

If Trump thought NV wasn’t a pickup, he wouldn’t have been in Reno last night.

And don’t forget a Hillary voter tried to kill him.

So if you think it looks bad in Clark, see how it looks to the other side.

They aren’t as confident as they outwardly appear to be.


31 posted on 11/05/2016 11:38:03 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: JamesP81

The early ballot numbers doesn’t mean a damn thing! Why... why.... WHY can’t people get that through their heads!!!!!

It does not indicate ANYTHING worth thinking about!!!!!

It does mean one thing...those that voted early will not go to the polls on election day. There is absolutely nothing else you can read into, or out of, early voting stats!


32 posted on 11/05/2016 11:38:49 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: CatOwner

NV may be crucial


33 posted on 11/05/2016 11:39:29 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: guido911

The early ballot numbers doesn’t mean a damn thing! Why... why.... WHY can’t people get that through their heads!!!!!

It does not indicate ANYTHING worth thinking about!!!!!

It does mean one thing...those that voted early will not go to the polls on election day.

There is absolutely nothing else one can read into, or out of, early voting stats!


34 posted on 11/05/2016 11:41:16 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: Helicondelta
Good news. The media pretty much called Nevada for Hitlery.

Their narrative is Trump cannot overcome the state early votes already cast. Nevada

Wonder if they considered the independent non affiliated ballots in their optimism.

35 posted on 11/05/2016 11:42:30 PM PDT by redleghunter (Truly my soul waiteth upon God: from him cometh my salvation. He only is my rock and my salvation)
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To: Az Joe

Yup.

We have to wait for the raw vote count.

Polls are way off so Tuesday night will us who Americans will elect as President.

Trump isn’t conceding and neither should we.

The idiot Steve Schmidt notwithstanding.


36 posted on 11/05/2016 11:42:40 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Az Joe

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.


37 posted on 11/05/2016 11:47:00 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: Az Joe

I hear you. But listen, the EV have already been done and counted. What happens on election day is not.

Also, in Nevada there is not zillions of other voters left to offset/overtake the EV lead.

Last, EV is a sign of enthusiasm. Just don’t discount the results.

That said, I do not live in Nevada and do not know the voting patterns. I live in Oklahoma, a state this Country can count on to go R.


38 posted on 11/05/2016 11:47:38 PM PDT by guido911 (Please ss)
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To: MountainWalker

Ralston is a Reid Democrat...he’s running his team’s play which is Hillary’s long-standing inevitability play. Hell, he’s not even in the media any longer...he’s essentially an unemployed Democrat flak. He’s making coin saying what he’s saying...paid by the Reid machine.

Nevada will be relatively close, but you are being gaslighted big league.


39 posted on 11/05/2016 11:49:44 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (Choose wisely America. Your lives depend on it.)
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To: Helicondelta

The poll doesn’t include Harry Reid’s voter fraud machine


40 posted on 11/05/2016 11:49:45 PM PDT by montag813
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