[Mjreagan]

IBD keeps getting (approx.) R+2 samples and ‘rebalancing’ (isn’t that unskewing?) to a D+7 to D+9 electorate.

[goldstategop]

Yup. That’s exactly what they’re doing.

Electorate looks white, male, older, Republican and predominantly conservative.

Wait - that was 2014. A presidential year electorate is supposed to look multi-racial, female, younger, Democratic and predominantly liberal.

Oops - so maybe 2016 is the new 2014.

[justlurking]

IBD keeps getting (approx.) R+2 samples and ‘rebalancing’ (isn’t that unskewing?) to a D+7 to D+9 electorate.

People's Pundit Daily currently has Trump up by 1.2% yesterday, and 1.1% today.

They don't adjust for party ID, but they do publish it in the crosstabs. Yesterday, it was 41/37/22 (D/R/I), or D+4. Party ID hasn't been published for today.

Over the past few weeks, it's been D+5 or D+6. The change was from D to I, with R holding at 37%.