Posted on 10/27/2016 12:10:30 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
|
|
10/27 |
10/26 |
Change |
|
Trump |
45.2 |
45.3 |
- . 1 |
|
Clinton |
44.5 |
44.2 |
+ . 3 |
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
The polls are all over the place. I don’t pay any attention to them, nor put any stock in them. They are used to discourage Trump supporters.
Plus Hillary will likely collapse, physically, then electorally. I forget what disease it is but there are many that get worse under stress. And she has a few.
I don’t know. If this were 2012, Romney would have totally gone under long ago.
My gut tells me that true Dem turnout is around ten percent less than what Obama got in 2012. Could be even worse.
Hillary is a broken down heap, stuck in the middle of the freeway. Call a tow truck.
Not good.
In this same poll in 2012. then called the “Rand”, Romney never had a lead in the last month.
And yet the MSM is saying today that Hillary is on the cusp of winning the election. Maybe the operative word is cusp. She sits on the cusp until Trump overtakes her on Nov 2 or 3.
Makes me ill that everyone is on this bandwagon. Anxiously awaiting results on the ground that the media can’t ignore.
It is meaningless, stop with the doom and gloom.
I worry that the pollster frauds are just going along with the fixed election, to make the witch’s selection legit...
she will never be my president....never...
My worry is that when DJT wins, convincingly, people are going to cite these polls as clear proof of foreign interference in the election process. People are lazy, they have no idea what the internals of these polls are. They only see Hillary winning by 5-9% and will call shenanigans if DJT wins by 5%. If DJT starts out the evening winning he east coast, I expect the DNC to be crying foul before the American people before 9pm.
A net loss of .4 when you lead by only .9 is not meaningless.
There is. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, ET al are very enthusiastic about Hillary.
Meaningless noise. this poll uses the same people every day. It is a poll within a poll. The universe is about 3000 and they poll about 700 of them everyday. They weight each response by “intensity”. An “I am likely to vote for — gets more weight than “I might vote for—” and less than “I will vote for—” It is then reported as a 6 or 7 day running average.
I have to admit, seeing stuff like this gives me the jitters.
Although I keep coming back to what I see.
In 2008 — in Orlando — everyone had the Hope and Change sticker on their car, the rallies that King Sh*thead kept filling in stadiums were attracting tens of thousands. Remember the clowns who were passing out?
College kids, blacks, white middle aged yoga moms, aging burn outs and suburbans were all on the Obama bandwagon.
In 2012, as much as it depressed me, I saw very little enthusiasm for Romney other than —he’s better than Obama.
Granted, this is all anecdotal evidence — but in Orlando, I don’t see the same enthusiasm for HIllary. Not with the college kids I work with (I work at a major Orlando health club in Maitland, FL...) In 2008, all the lifeguards in the aquatics department were gaga of BamBam. Now — it’s either Trump or, “Dude? There’s an election?”
Again, all anecdotal.
But... if they’re claiming Hillary has MORE support and intensity than Obama in 2008 (he was D+8, then D+6 if I’ve got my figures right) I think that’s nuts.
More anecdotal — lots of former Obama nuts are now on the Trump train. Also, Bernouts are either for Trump or not voting.
One final observation — my hubby works in an office with a large minority population. They’re all either for Trump or won’t vote if they hate the both of them. None of the minority work mates are even remotely interested in Hillary.
Again, anecdotal, but that’s all I got. I just hope I’m right.
By the way, not a noob, although my screenname is new. Was a Freeper going back to the Gore/Leiberman days. Just quit the freep for mental health reasons (it got so dark...) and can’t find my old screen name.
Freegards...
She’s up 43 to 41 in today’s IBD tracker.
Would think Trump’s diligent campaigning would have built up momentum by now and see him breaking away somewhat.
Of course, these polls keep insisting on inflating the democrat turnout models.
Praying for Trump and that America wakes pronto!!!
It’s a shame that pollsters are repudiating their raw data finding a R+3 advantage for Trump and reweighing their samples to D+6, giving her a 9 point gift.
Bill Mitchell tweets about how IBD has done this for six straight days in order to deny Trump’s actual lead.
The bias is laughable! In today’s USC/LA Times poll, internals show Trump up .7. Real Clear Politics rounds (down), showing a tie. In today’s IBD Poll, internals show a 1.2 lead for Hillary, and Real Clear Politics rounds “up”, showing a 2 point lead.!!
Both gain a point in today’s Rasmussen tracker, keeping her up by one (unchanged from yesterday).
So far today has been a status quo scenario.
Trying to look at the proverbial glass being half full.
Thanks for sharing your analysis about how RCP demonstrates their bias by rounding polls up or down to favor her.
RCP I believe has been co-opted by leftists in the past few years. Used to be a lot more reliable, like Town Hall.
“I read here today that some state was down 10 percent in early dem voting.”
_________________________________________________________
That was early voting in North Carolina.
Bill Mitchell, on his Twitter page, said that dem early voting in North Carolina is down 10 per cent over 2012. GOP voting in the Tarheel state is down 6 per cent over four years ago.
He also made the point that Independent early voting is up a whopping 28 per cent over 2012 in North Carolina. Mr. Mitchell believes that most of these Independents are unhappy Republicans who ditched the GOP. He also believes that this is the Monster Vote manifesting itself for Trump.
The most absurd poll I’ve heard is the AP poll, that claims Madame Pickles is leading by 14 points.
That poll over samples dems by 12 points. They polled 37 per cent dems, 25 per cent Republicans, and the rest indies.
To believe that poll, we would have to believe that Hitlery will have TWICE the dem voter enthusiasm that Obama had in 2012.
It’s more than obvious that is NOT going to happen.
Article title should be TRUMP STILL LEADS.
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