Clan-based politics is deep-rooted. If people like this Babushka take arms, it is most likely to be part of clan warfare. It would be over which clan takes power.
You cannot erase centuries-old social political dynamic in a short period of time, and a decade is indeed short in this realm. Especially, if they try to initiate reform based on a democratic process.
The Russian strategy to handle clan competition is to find the most military capable, control them and wipe out the others. Read this interesting article about Chechnya http://carnegie.ru/2016/10/27/chechnya-s-new-contract-with-kremlin-pub-64955