Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

PROFESSOR NORPOTH: TRUMP HAS 87% CHANCE TO WIN – AND WILL WIN BY 5 POINTS (VIDEO)
Gateway Pundit ^ | October 25, 2016 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 10/26/2016 4:52:30 AM PDT by GilGil

His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.

This 2016 forecast rests on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last 30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the White House.

Norpoth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his election prediction today.

Norpoth added that Donald Trump will win by 5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1moretime; 2016; clinton; election; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-29 next last
The new piece of information about the Norpoth prediction is that now he adds a 5 point margin of victory.

In just a few weeks, President-elect Trump will be the talk of the planet!

1 posted on 10/26/2016 4:52:30 AM PDT by GilGil
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: GilGil

2 posted on 10/26/2016 4:58:22 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

If and only if we all show up and vote for him!


3 posted on 10/26/2016 4:58:50 AM PDT by Redleg Duke (Time for a new party for We the People, to restore a two-party system!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

There’s a still a week of campaigning left.

Final batch of polls will be out November 4, the last weekend before the election.


4 posted on 10/26/2016 4:59:00 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

I REALLY hope Trump wins as I don’t want to memorize the koran in spanish!


5 posted on 10/26/2016 5:00:27 AM PDT by HWGruene (REMEMBER THE ALAMO!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Redleg Duke

If and only if we all show up and vote for him!

__________________________________

100% certainty we will.


6 posted on 10/26/2016 5:00:28 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: HWGruene

I REALLY hope Trump wins as I don’t want to memorize the koran in spanish!

__________________

Funny


7 posted on 10/26/2016 5:01:08 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
That's not a new piece of information! Helmut has had it since the beginning

https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/


8 posted on 10/26/2016 5:02:37 AM PDT by KavMan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: HWGruene

That’s my new tagline! lol


9 posted on 10/26/2016 5:04:05 AM PDT by Frapster (I REALLY hope Trump wins as I donÂ’t want to memorize the koran in spanish!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
We had a good day with the USC/Dornsife poll and it inspired me to look at some of the backup data. When I took a look at the support for Trump and Hillary vs Income I was, to say the least, shocked. Looking at this data it seems to me that Trump could win easily.

Trump has a huge and growing support for anyone making over $35K per year. If the state of the economy is an issue in this election, and it is, then Trump has a big head start on winning.


10 posted on 10/26/2016 5:05:26 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed. About time..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KavMan

I never heard it stated as a 5 point margin!


11 posted on 10/26/2016 5:06:01 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
Says it here

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/helmut-norpoth/trump-nearcertain-to-defe_b_9403762.html

12 posted on 10/26/2016 5:17:02 AM PDT by KavMan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

IMO... 5 pts. is not enough to combat the MASSIVE fraud taking place this election. The stories coming from states’ first days of early voting prove their fraud machines are working at full speed, and won’t stop till the hag wins. Even if it goes beyond 11/8.


13 posted on 10/26/2016 5:28:47 AM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ObozoMustGo2012

So how many point does he need? 20!


14 posted on 10/26/2016 5:31:12 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

...and he DOES NOT USE POLLS. He laughed when Dobbs asked him that.


15 posted on 10/26/2016 5:42:58 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

We need a complete purging of all voting rolls and a new, accurate re-enrollment.

And an automatic death penalty for vote fraud.


16 posted on 10/26/2016 5:43:25 AM PDT by Redleg Duke (Time for a new party for We the People, to restore a two-party system!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: ObozoMustGo2012

Go back and look. I said many months ago this election means nothing. We will not accept a Hillary win. Libtards won’t accept a Trump win. What happens on November 8th means NOTHING. What happens on the 9th will be history.


17 posted on 10/26/2016 5:47:01 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Trump has to win by 5 points to out-do the voter fraud by the Democrats.


18 posted on 10/26/2016 6:12:43 AM PDT by tbw2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

What is this, the hundredth article on FR about this guy? He’s got nothing to lose by his prediction. He’s enjoying the publicity. Nobody heard of him before. If he’s right, he’s the new hero. If he’s wrong, it’s back to the way it was. Nobody will hear of him again.
Look at what we’re reduced to. Hanging our hopes on this one professor, some damaging wikileaks surprise, or some mysterious, mythical, mystical, hidden Monster Trump vote.This isn’t the America of Reagan anymore. There aren’t enough of us left anymore. Demographics kill us.


19 posted on 10/26/2016 6:43:54 AM PDT by Hiro Protaginast
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Praying this guy know what he’s talking about.


20 posted on 10/26/2016 6:47:20 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (#NeverHillary and we won't forget the backstabbers and sellouts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-29 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson