Things have gone from normal to strange this election...
There have been so many things that are like never before...
The news media have shown who they are and backing hill
What makes anyone think the polls are honest? Because they have been before? But this year it’s different... this election is the epitome of corruption.. it’s everywhere.
What makes you think the polls are correct? Because they have been before.. doesn’t hold for this election..
Look at Trump’s rallies and look at the enthusiasm of hillary’s... 20,000 to 50... don’t tell me she is ahead and winning this..
The loudest voices are being heard.. they control the microphones and the cameras .. the nut job reporters are lying to us every day.. and you are going to believe their polls?
I am disgusted at Hannity, Rush and anyone else who is sounding defeated already.. It’s in their voices .. they are believing the polls.. when everyone and their dogs are against Trump and have tried to take him out in every way they can think of.. this defeated tone is damning to Trump... get over it and report the masses showing up to hear him and to see him.. there are millions of voters still waiting to vote! give them a reason to vote..!!!
Stop giving up already!! We’re the winners here.. sound like it!!
All within MOE. IBD and LATIMES actually less than a 1 point lead.
Turnout is the key.
agree its tie to open the flood gates on TV and make him seem like he’s everywhere
now is NOT the time to economize and rely on youtube and fakebook
Means NOTHING....
Kim dotcom, save us..!!
If you look at the internals, anything over a D+3 sample is bogus.
I agree a lead would be nice to have, but still in the MOE area isn’t all that bad.
But also keep in mind:
Ronald Reagan trailed President Jimmy Carter 47 percent to 39 percent in a survey completed on Oct. 26, 1980.
And, of course, who can forget President Dewey?
Reagan was down just prior to his landslide! Buck up buckaroo!
Hogwash. Carter was kicking Reagan’s ass a week out. So was Dukakis.
Poll:\October/November
Reagan Carter Anderson
40% 44% 9%
39% 45% 9%
47% 44% 8%
Actual result
51% 41% 7%
“It seems unlikely Trump will win if he is not leading in a single poll. “
Dude, it’s one percentage point with a bunch of extra dems surveyed.
And a survey =/= actual votes.
Some of you seriously care more about being up in a survey than actually winning in real life.
Hell if it was Trump +1, you guys would be whining that “it’s not outside the margin of fraud!!!!!!” or some other equally boo hoo comment.
Voters are drifting back to Hillary the way an abused child goes back to their parents.
She’s a well known quantity to them and it makes them feel safe.
When in doubt, go with what you know.
I am still of the mind that Donald’s numbers are just that much more solid (and may even belie even more stronger support than what the 42% measures) than Hillary’s. No doubt though, turnout is key.
Seems very odd. But isn’t IBD (and maybe the others) still oversampling Dems ?
Folks - good to follow Bill Mitchell on Twitter. He is a master with these polls. He looks at internals and other factors that discredit these current polls. Not to mention, Wikileaks exposed this polling fraud—rigging the election.
Only glimmer of hope today is the new Gravis/OAN poll that shows a 50-50 tie, based upon a D+7 sample of 2000 voters.
Watched a youtube link that said Trump has gained ground with women in spite of all the smear tactics.
Really?? Three polls within margin of error and all 1 point or less and you have to wring your hands over it? She’s at 42 in 2 polls and at 44 in LA Times. Her support is anemic and propped up by turnout margins that are at best, overly optimistic. Cut the garbage with posting defeatist posts like this. Just pointless on your part.
More and more Trump supporters are telling pollsters to F OFF. None of the polls are worth anything. People are royally pi**ed. Nothing is accurate anymore.
The news media would have you believe the turnout at a HRC rally is down because her supporters think she has already won. DON’T BELIEVE IT!!! GO TRUMP!!!