No one buys the 12-point lead, but Kellyanne Conway herself said they are behind in the polls yesterday. If they had internal polls saying otherwise, she would probably be saying that instead.
Behind in the polls doesn’t mean behind on election day necessarily. And he has time to catch up. But we need to focus less on the polls at this point and on helping his campaign. I’ve been on Twitter and other boards trying to argue to the #nevertrumpers that they should vote for him. Pretty much like talking to a brick wall though.
Polls don’t count people who have never voted. TONS of people have never voted, and my polling shows:
60% of first-time voters under age 23 are voting Trump.
70% of first-time voters age 23-40 are voting Trump.
80% of first-time voters over age 40 are voting Trump.
Additionally, of Democrats who are “more excited” to vote than in 2012:
75% are “more excited” because they are voting Trump.
25% are “more excited” because they are voting Clinton.
Lastly, on a scale of 1-10, how excited are you to vote for your candidate?
Clinton:
44% say 1-6
56% say 7-10
Trump:
15% say 1-6
85% say 7-10