How do the pollsters take into account the massive voter fraud the Demonrats are famous for? Is that just part of the Demonrat vote numbers?
Many of them will re-weight based on historical turnout of D/R/I (eg: the IBD/TIPP poll has Trump up +7 with their raw data on even D:R turnout but for some reason re-weighted to +8D which pulled the margin down to +2%. (D+8 is very generous - Obama didn’t even get that, I just don’t think IBD/TIPP wants to be too much of an outlier)