Enthusiasm matters more than whatever the polls show.
Polls don’t vote, people do.
Hillary isn’t exactly exciting people with interest in her candidacy.
Trump is getting huge crowds and more people are watching him on TV feed than can get in his rallies.
The candidate people identify with more usually wins.
Unless you’re Bernie. He drew unbelievably massive crowds that frankly shocked me. Yet Ms. Heinous and company managed to shut him down.
The odd thing compared against 2008....lots of people showed up at Obama speeches in the final six weeks of the campaign. He had no problem in getting 5,000 to 10,000 people to show up and folks got all chocked up. This time? Hillary has trouble in just getting 2,000 to show up. That lack of enthusiasm is a big negative.
The odd thing compared against 2008....lots of people showed up at Obama speeches in the final six weeks of the campaign. He had no problem in getting 5,000 to 10,000 people to show up and folks got all chocked up. This time? Hillary has trouble in just getting 2,000 to show up. That lack of enthusiasm is a big negative.
I live one mile from where Hillary and Kaine had their Pittsburgh rally yesterday. This neighborhood is overwhelmingly democrat and in the last election Obama got 80% of the vote to Romney’s 20%. The city of Pittsburgh itself (population 300,000 - Allegheny County population 1.3 million) is one party democrat. For most races there is no Republican candidate. And yesterday from the city and eastern suburbs Hillary and Kaine were able to entice ...... 1,100 of the faithful to attend.
I enjoy reading Bill Mitchell’s twitter page.
He says the polls by the media types are way off because they use D+8 or higher, i.e., 2008 and 2012 turnout models where there was enthusiasm amongst dems for Obama.....there is very little for Hillary.
Mitchell also claims that the early voting is part of the “monster vote” surge for Trump and that the momentum is with him.