[rb22982]

Eh, both Carter and Reagan had positive favorability ratings. Clinton and Trump are both very high. I know quite a few people voting Johnson this year in roughly even numbers from Rs and Ds based on registration/2012 vote. Now if wikileaks or Project Veritas drops a monster bomb a week before the vote (or something against Trump), you are probably right but otherwise I think 3rd party will get a lot more votes this time than normal.

[Sooth2222]

If the Greens + Libertarians win more than 3.81% (combined), they will break all records. Can they possibly win 10.9% (combined)? With 2 candidates who are not nearly as well known as Ralph Nader? I doubt it.

Sample size of 1 (one) -- I don't "approve" of Trump and I self-identify as a "small-L" libertarian. But I'm sure not going to throw my vote away on Johnson against Hillary.

We'll see, "in the fullness of time".