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To: rb22982
Even better: "Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson fell 1 point to 7%, while Green Party Jill Stein held at 4%. In the first three days of the tracking poll, Trump held a 1-point lead in a four-way race. Unrounded, Trump leads 42.1% to 39.7% -- a 2.4-point edge -- with Johnson at 7.3% and Stein at 3.6%."

Both Johnson and Stein ran in 2012. In 2012, Johnson received 0.99% of the vote, and Stein received 0.36%. The highest percentage that the Libertarians have ever won is 1.06% in 1980. My guess is that even if he breaks the 1980 record, Johnson won't get anywhere near 7.3%, The Green Party's best showing was 2.74% in 2000 with Ralph Nader. IMO, Stein is no Ralph Nader and she won't get near 3.6%. My guess is that the majority of the Johnson and Stein votes will not go to Clinton.

In a Gallup poll of October 26th in 1980, they had Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39.

32 posted on 10/22/2016 4:25:01 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Sooth2222

The big media learned their lesson on Carter/Reagan drama. They will attack Trump ten times harder when they sense Trump exceeds or pull even with Hillary. Their goal is to leave no chance of a Trump win. This is life and death struggle, they know it.


34 posted on 10/22/2016 4:31:31 AM PDT by Rebel2016
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To: Sooth2222

In 2012 though, Romney and Obama didn’t have anywhere near the negatives of Clinton and Trump. I don’t think Johnson and Stein end up with 11%, but I think 7-9% combined is likely. It’s possible in states like CA or NY, some Dems may vote one of those 2 as a protest vote since its “safe” - especially bernbots - won’t change the Electoral college but will the pop vote.


39 posted on 10/22/2016 4:40:11 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: Sooth2222

“In a Gallup poll of October 26th in 1980, they had Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39.”

And the final was Reagan 50%, Carter 41%. I’ve never looked at polls since. The communist media was using polls to skew public perception at least since then.


53 posted on 10/22/2016 5:29:44 AM PDT by CodeToad
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