[Rokke]

The Rasmussen poll is a three day tracker. That makes it more erratic and it will show movement before the 7 day trackers. But word of caution, it had a very rapid spike in Trumps direction yesterday. That was for data collected before the debate. When that data falls off, unless it is replaced by another really strong day, Rasmussen will tighten up. I don’t think the last debate will have a strong impact on either candidate in the short term. So I suspect Ras will show a tie or even a small Hillary lead in the next couple days. But before anyone panics, the Ras poll has been a yo yo for a few weeks. If you don’t like the results one day, just wait a day or two.

[Rokke]

And as I type that I see Ras has closed from a 3 point Trump lead to 2. I suspect it will tighten further. Until Trump climbs up again.

[rb22982]

The rapid falloff yesterday was one very strong day for Clinton over the weekend rolling off. Take a look at his last 6 days of polling. There was a 4 pt swing over the weekend for Clinton but if you exclude that day's sample (which looks like 8-12% for Clinton delta on that one day), his results results all look about the same with a 2%ish Trump lead.

Ras Trump Clinton
21-Oct 43% 41%
20-Oct 43% 40%
19-Oct 42% 42%
18-Oct 41% 42%
17-Oct 41% 43%
14-Oct 43% 41%

[cowboyusa]

Ras always benefits Hillary coming off of the weekend.