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Holy cow!! In OR? 20 I believe 7.. wow!
Would be great to add Oregon to the battleground state list - and I agree - if he’s down just 7 there, no way is he down 10+ nationally. Obama won by 12 there.
The huge undecided and “I’m voting for the New Mexico doper guy” voters may put him over the top in many states.
And considering the source is OPB the margin is probably closer.
Lotsa Trumpers in the Pacific Northwest!
What are the internals?
Barack Hussein beat Romney by 12% in Oregon, and he won by under 4% overall in 2012. If the tyrant is only winning by 7% in Oregon and the electorate shifts by the same amount nationwide, it will be Trump by 1% overall.
That’s not realistic though, not with the impending epic level of fraud. The thugs will only create/steal votes in the swing states, so Oregon is not indicative of the official outcome.
If Trump is only down 7 in California then there is a chance he could squeak by. A lot of the Bernie supporters would have to vote for him. The other thing would be no enthusiasm for Hillary and a lot of people stay home. The last would be a lot of enthusiasm for Trump and way above normal turn out.
Trump within 7 points in Oregon shows that the USC, RAS and PPD national tracking polls are more in line with reality.
In 1996, Bill Clinton carried the state by eight percentage points. Perot received about 12% of the vote. Although the Gary Johnson and Jill Stein demographics are different from Perot, I wouldn’t be surprised if their combined votes match Perot’s numbers.
Oregon is a very white state so maybe it will trend for us. Portland will not.
When you start losing the land of fruity and nutty, you are really losing, sad...
Amazing!
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Lies he is only up 3 In Texas lol
I have a friend on the elction board who told me that ballots are being mailed TODAY!
Vote early and drop it off at one of the collection sites. Don’t mail it!
Obama beat Romney by 12% in Oregon.
Obama beat McCain by 16%.
A 7-point D lead in OR corresponds to a 1 to 2 point R lead nationally. Which is right in line with the USC poll.
I’ve been told by a friend on Facebook who lives in New Jersey that Donald is doing very well there too. The only thing holding him back from really turning that state red is the northern part (close to NYC, I guess). The southern end is very Republican to begin with. With a poll like this in Oregon, it really shows the WaPo’s latest numbers to be possibly really out of whack.
I also wonder if Donald’s olive branch to Bernie supporters could help in Oregon and other blue states.
In 2000, he almost carried the state -- Nader took 5% of the vote which brought Bush to within a fraction of a percentage point of winning.
In 2004, Kerry beat Bush 51%-47%.
That was a close election nationally, 50%-48% Bush.
Perot was pretty strong in Oregon in 1992.
Some of Trump's support could be similar to the Perot voters of the 1990s.
That could explain why he's doing better in states like Oregon and Maine, than Republicans usually do.
It's hard to believe that he'd actually carry Oregon, though.
And only up three in Texas. So if you honestly think Oregon is in play then you must really be sweating the Lone Star State.