I wish the landslide people were correct, but I don’t see that...
But I do think Trump has Iowa and Ohio locked down.
If he wins North Carolina, Florida and PA, he is President.
I think he wins North Carolina by a slightly bigger margin than Romney won the state.
I think he wins Florida in a squeaker. [If Florida is super close, the results may not be known for several days. Each absentee ballot signature must be inspected against registration forms in every county. Read that some counties have some automated/mechanical process for that while other counties manually look up each signature.]
PA is then KEY. Right now, I’m banking on decreased AA turnout in Philly and Pittsburgh, similar to the decrease in AA absentee ballot requests we are seeing in Cleveland and Columbus, OH. Plus heavy support from working class people across the state, including many DEMs.
All told, about 280 electoral votes for Trump to 258 for Clinton.
I think it is going to be a landslide, but I will take a win.
Do you really think the DSCC would pull their money from the Senate race if Clinton had any sort of chance in FL at all? I would guess that if they saw her as having a fair chance, they would leave their money in to help with the Senat and presidential race.