In 2008 my local DNC HQ had people crowding the building and spilled out into the parking lot.
In 2016 they have a “volunteers wanted” sign taped to the window.
Something does not add up.
Just using my shirtsleeve here but I do believe the observations support my conclusions. In terms of real voters, Hillary is going to get only the most rabid Kool Aid addicts to vote for her. Her real support tops out in the mid thirties. This is why no matter how much help the biased media pollsters give her she just can not break 50%. Serious third Party candidacies can hardly break into double digits. Perot did better than Anderson or even Bullmoose Roosevelt. Even Perot just barely broke double digits as I recall.
I think the two extra candidates will probably split the 5% or so that vote “other than Rat, GOP”. Giving them a couple points over the usual 3% due to Bernista enthusiasm.
Even giving 5 to 10% over her 35% only lifts Hillary to 40 to 45%. In either case, Trump breaks 50% and she does not. The question at this point is how do they break at the margins. A 55, 40, 5 split makes Trump impervious to fraud. Even 5 or 10 percent less does not. If Hillary can get into 45% range she could win by fraud. Even in the delusion ally biased BSMedia polls she does not break 45%.
Just the way I see it.