[GilGil]

This video is excellent especially for all the snowflakes who tremble when they see the MSM polls. If you need to get your head straight with the polls you need to listen to this. This video is also great in that it puts the polls into perspective measured against the facts.

-no support in real world for HRC

-the polls average out D+11 in the polls but back in 2008 polls were D+7 when Obama won his first election. The pollsters are saying that voters are as enthusiastic for Hillary as they are for Obama.

So the pollsters are saying that Hillary will get 4 points more than Obama got in 2008 despite the fact that in the current primaries turnout was 20% less for democrats than in 2008.

-back in 2008 they were bragging about the yard signs for Obama but now they are saying yard signs do not matter.

-in the last election and most elections 30% of voters are college educated. But in the current polls 50% of those polled are college educated which intentionally under samples the blue collar voters who are Trump's strength.

- the over sampling is always in favor of Hillary

- the democrats are giving themselves a false confidence that they are winning. You never say in the Superbowl that you are going to win by 40 points. What you are doing is firing up the opposition. Social media is neutralizing the MSM.

- On the ground there is no evidence that Hillary is even in this race. When Obama was running it was obvious he was popular everyhwere. Rally attendance for Hillary has gone as low as 50.

-pollsters call each other up to get the same results. That is usual and customary.

-married women support Trump. Unmarried women do not. You go to a Trump rally half the crowd is women.Women who are child bearing or women who want to get married want a good economy so hubby can provide.

-they do not care about Hillary. Dems want to take control of Supreme Court. The election is about the Supreme Court and Hillary needs to hold together to win. After that they will hide her.

- Professor says there is an 87% chance Trump will win. The scandals are fluff. This is a change election like in 2008. When you have a change election the status quo candidate does not win. In 2008 28% of voters were happy with the direction of country just like today.

- Right now we have 15-17% undecided which is a record this late in the election.These are people who know who Hillary is and don't want her and are waiting for Donald Trump to give them an excuse to vote for him.

- Hillary is the John McCain of 2016. Obama did not win because of his experience. Obama just looked as an antidote to the status quo and people said let's roll the dice.

- Trump will win because Trump is not the status quo president and Hillary is. And Hillary is being deconstructed by social media. Bill Mitchell gets 10 million views in one interview which is more than any anchor on any cable or alphabet network. The sophistication of social media is light years ahead of 4 years ago.

Do me a favor listen to the video before you whine about this simply can't be and it is time to jump off the cliff. This is an excellent analysis.

[Jet Jaguar]

Bump

[conservativepoet]

Great analysis. Thanks.

[DouglasKC]

Thank you for some common sense. I too believe that Trump has this nearly locked up...which explains why the Clinton campaign and their campaign extension of the media have gone ballistic on Trump.

[ealgeone]

I hope you’re right!

[Kenny]

I love it when Bill said, if you have empirical evidence (real world, crowds, signs) that doesn’t match the hypothesis (polls, media), you don’t throw out the evidence, you throw out the hypothesis.

[Parley Baer]

I have had this unusual calmness come over me about the election in the last few days. I just feel in my bones that Trump is going to win this thing. GO TRUMP GO

[Big Horn]

Good thoughts.

[WildHighlander57]

GilGil,

many many many thanks for posting this!

very good analysis; I had seen similar, but not as in-depth as this one.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3481769/posts?page=1#1

[nutmeg]

bookmark

[Guenevere]

POLL BUMP

[KavMan]

OMG!!! I feel soooo much better after watching this video!

What a stress reliever!!! I hope these bastards are right & this isn’t like 2012 & UNSKEW the polls!! LOL

[maine-iac7]

fl

[wright2bear]

So the pollsters are saying that Hillary will get 4 points more than Obama got in 2008 despite the fact that in the current primaries turnout was 20% less for democrats than in 2008.

Curious if anyone knows what the dem turnout was in 2012 compared to this year? I believe that would be more relevant than 2008.

[uncitizen]

pollsters are saying that Hillary will get 4 points more than Obama got in 2008 despite the fact that in the current primaries turnout was 20% less for democrats than in 2008.

that's the proof that these polls are bogus. Trump is doing better than obama in 2008, but no way Hillary is. No way.

[trebb]

Thank you! I’m getting really tired of the idiots (and the snowflakes) that either do what the can to demoralize Trump supporters (I call them Hillary supporters) with their “concerns” and those who keep doing the Chicken Little bit of drama every time they see what the Hillary supporters post.

[jmaroneps37]

This is great work! Ed Goeas of Battlefield polls speaking as Tarrance polling went further last January saying Republicans have an 11 point “intensity” edge which is higher than either 2008 or 2012. Goeas described it as the highest he has ever seen.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3481436/posts

[freedomrings69]

Some valid points but losing parties always say don’t believe the polls.