[GilGil]

This week’s polls’ internals...
WaPo D+8
Fox D+9
NBC D+12
Reuters D+15

______________

I think I get it. They are assuming that the dems will be so enthusiastic that 18.9% more dems will show up. Wow!

[nhwingut]

Yep, must be the enthusiasm for Hillary where she barely draws 500 at her rallies ONCE PER WEEK while Trump draws 10,000 Twice PER DAY. She's also has Dems much more excited than for Obama in 2008 that only drew a D+7 turnout. 😂😂😂

[cornfedcowboy]

Firstly Dems outnumber Republicans. Also, the over sampling is representative of the lead. The candidate with more support will reflect on higher party identification. For the most part polls try to be accurate and they publish all of the results. This poll might be an outlier although the trend on RCP is confirmed.