Apologies if you’ve answered this previously, but what do you base your prediction on? Is it the percentage of returned ballots in 2012.
Ravi posted some data from 2012 on returned/unreturned ballots from 2012. I’m using that data. However, I haven’t been able to independently obtain percentages on 2012 data.
For now, using 78% return for REP and 70% for DEM.