Are these internals accurate? 46-35 Dem/Rep is the poll sample? Where does Fox get this from? I thought the actuals in a US national election were more like 37/32/31 at worst. If you condense the sample into this party affiliation breakdown, the result would be more like tied or perhaps Clinton with a point or two advantage at most.
“I thought the actuals in a US national election were more like 37/32/31”
-—According to Gallup Jan/2016: US Party ID
Dem = 29%
Rep = 26%
Ind = 42
They base these on “projected” turnout models from 2012 or past elections but Dems aren’t going to turnout for Hillary like they did for Obama - even if she wins (God forbid)