USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/11 -- Trump down .5, Clinton up .6

LA Times ^ | October 11, 2016 | LA Times

[BlessedBeGod]

Change
Trump: down .5
Clinton: up .6

10/11
Trump: 45.3
Clinton: 43.3

10/10
Trump: 45.8
Clinton: 42.7

[VanDeKoik]

“This whole week has been a catastrophic meltdown for any chance Trump had for winning this election. “

Well follow JimRob’s advice and signoff and ask the mods to delete your account.

Also dont show up to vote.

Go ahead.

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Ras poll just out... narrowed from Hillary +7 (BS Poll, as I detailed yesterday) to +5 today

[BlueStateRightist]

“This whole week has been a catastrophic meltdown for any chance Trump had for winning this election.”

I won’t berate you for your perspective. Our job is to shore up your confidence. Please hold out for another 2 weeks and let the dust settle before abandoning all hope. A lot can happen in the remaining 27 days.

[ncalburt]

why post such ridiculous rant .
the media can yank your foolish chain hourly .
look at that con job poll that murdoch and comcast cooked up .
they peddled a hillary superpac poll
Its called pyschops .
we dont need your its over give up bs .

[Ancesthntr]

This poll is an average of results over a one week period of time. The post-debate portion of this is only one of those seven days, whereas there are two days that are after the release of the video tape. This poll will not significantly reflect the events of Friday and Sunday until at least Thursday morning. Don’t be too concerned.

[PJ-Comix]

It takes a few days for a debate to take effect.

Full effect won't be seen in this poll until next Monday.

[cowboyusa]

Who can say. The race is moving back and forth so quickly.

[ncalburt]

your playing psychop games here.

give the link to this supposed tweet or stop the games.

[Rokke]

“Trump will trend down until the weekend numbers roll off the average. They were bad.

Folks who get emotional about polls should tune out until next week.”

Exactly. And anyone who watches any news on television deserves the anxiety it induces. It’s like gargling with Drane-O. You know what you’re going to get. So why do it?

[lacrew]

My understanding is that this particular poll uses the same 3,000 person sample every day. So, any movement in the poll is a genuine reflection of somebody’s mind being changed. So frankly, its a good sign to see such small movement after the hot mic story.

[KC_Conspirator]

This is a 7 day tracking poll, literally not even 48 hours since the 2nd debate, so results should show in a day or two.

Speaking of debate. Seems the MSM has dropped all discussion of it.

[Sooth2222]

"This poll is an average of results over a one week period of time. The post-debate portion of this is only one of those seven days, whereas there are two days that are after the release of the video tape. This poll will not significantly reflect the events of Friday and Sunday until at least Thursday morning. Don’t be too concerned."

Exactly. It's a rolling average.

I wouldn't be too concerned until 7 days (evenings) post-debate. That would be NEXT Tuesday. Volatility should be expected, considering the events. (Of course that's if nothing new happens -- involving Clinton, Trump or the rest of The Universe. The chances of that are probably about 0.)

[hobo1234]

IMPORTANT!!! RE This poll...

Keep in mind this poll will have a 7-10 day lag. They give 7 days for the respondents to answer the poll. So the results for this is up to about October 2-4. In my guess you will see a bump Oct 11-13 reflecting VP debate bump.. Then Oct. 15-17 see much bigger drop due to Grab p...issue. Then Oct 18th- will see bump back up and normalize.

[hobo1234]

This poll is of 3000 people, but poll about 400 each day. HOWEVER, they are given 7 days to respond. Thus, the “hot mic” etc... will not show up until the 15th of Oct or so.....The results past that which included debate will be October 18th or so..So expect to go up a little for VP debate results trickling in..then down for the “hot mic” then settle up hopefully again...But on average a 9 day lag

[Nita Nupress]

And how do we know that? Because they say it’s so? IMO it’s the perfect way to shape opinion and control the psychological state of people who believe they’re actually making the calls. Where are the checks and balances? Wid liberals believe polls from a bunch if conservative media and polling conglomerates? No. So why should this be any different.

Just my 2 cents.

[lacrew]

Thanks for the info.

[july4thfreedomfoundation]

The election is exactly four weeks from today.

[lacrew]

Actually, liberals don’t believe this poll, since Trump happens to lead...so, no they wouldn’t believe it. But liberals don’t believe in a lot of things...and it has no impact on whether or not they are real or not.

The Dornslife poll is done by USC...its a research project as much as it is a poll - lots of students and faculty involved. I’ve never been a huge advocate of conspiracy theories, because I know how difficult it is to control information flow in organizations. If they weren’t really polling people, eventually that info would get out.

Now most of these polls are really just an echo chamber of the pollster’s turnout model. I understand that, and take them with a grain of salt - especially in a year where enthusiasm is up, and there are many newly registered voters who aren’t being polled. But that’s why I like the Dornslife methodology. Take the same group of people and keep gaging their opinion to look for movement. Whoever is ‘on top’ doesn’t matter as much as the direction of movement.

[sargon]

Not good. This is post debate, too.

What's with the daily hand-wringing on a poll that Trump is still leading?

Furthermore, the sample includes ONE post-debate day. So it's not particularly "post-debate"...

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

[gogulls]

“Not good”. Brilliant analysis. Y’know most of us know math, too. The bigger question is are we gonna sit and wallow and let their demoralization effort succeed or are we gonna hit the computer and whereever else to make this “good”? /rant over